TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Red Wings, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$240,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,148 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd2f0…c5d9backed Red Wings40c109,999$44,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,999.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef4…292cbacked Utah60c109,999$65,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,999.440%0 W · 4 L-2.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc81…fb2abacked Utah60c33,633$20,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,179.5340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Red Wings68c10,797$7,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,476.0413754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b41…2521backed Utah60c10,007$6,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,004.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x203c…24b4backed Utah60c10,007$6,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,003.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafa8…8753backed Utah60c9,991$5,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,994.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1c…0ccfbacked Red Wings40c9,966$3,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,979.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f9…417bbacked Red Wings40c9,964$3,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,978.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x942c…ee70backed Red Wings40c9,958$3,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,974.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b4c…61acbacked Red Wings40c8,995$3,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3971100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Utah32c8,214$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.3544848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa94d…234abacked Utah60c7,025$4,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,214.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe2…6b49backed Utah60c6,922$4,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,152.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac90…1882backed Utah60c5,003$3,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001.81050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfc…b032backed Red Wings40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah51c3,812$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.591,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80f2…3343backed Red Wings40c3,139$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Utah60c3,080$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.7211352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Red Wings39c2,596$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.8249351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Red Wings44c2,134$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.9958467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Red Wings41c1,997$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.424546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x964b…f85abacked Red Wings40c1,812$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah33c1,730$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.043,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x684a…1b69backed Red Wings41c1,705$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4eb…161fbacked Utah60c1,690$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.31266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x965f…f167backed Red Wings40c1,688$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Utah61c1,623$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.0230549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.9897651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings38c1,272$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.471,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b6b…12e7backed Red Wings40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed Utah61c999.97$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.984438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Utah61c983.61$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Red Wings68c850.61$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.184751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Red Wings67c834.06$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.0623761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Utah61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Utah30c818.07$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9913348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Utah58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46466951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x871c…03b0backed Red Wings40c753.45$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6653…4055backed Red Wings40c750.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6568…536cbacked Red Wings40c743.93$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ea…169bbacked Red Wings40c738.43$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eeb…c8c2backed Red Wings40c737.23$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dea…8128backed Utah61c733.84$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff46…998fbacked Red Wings40c733.43$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b2a…5cfcbacked Red Wings40c724.98$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x852c…1611backed Red Wings40c724.9$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…64b3backed Red Wings40c719.55$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92c7…e28ebacked Red Wings40c711.33$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1996…faf3backed Red Wings40c708.95$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+117.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb38f…a476backed Red Wings40c684.33$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1151…2f8fbacked Red Wings40c678.1$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b4…16e9backed Red Wings40c677.03$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0493…38dabacked Red Wings40c673.3$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c8…2a25backed Red Wings40c671.38$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x131a…51cebacked Red Wings40c669.18$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…a838backed Red Wings40c661.55$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x024b…6081backed Red Wings40c658.8$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c31…9cd4backed Red Wings40c642.48$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…9667backed Red Wings39c637.81$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.075100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c4b…a0b6backed Red Wings40c634.18$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d2…e49cbacked Red Wings40c631.5$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c2…76d6backed Red Wings40c630$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b29…763cbacked Red Wings40c629.78$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec5…f942backed Red Wings40c626.75$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf58…91a8backed Red Wings40c617.25$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1796…afb2backed Red Wings40c614.6$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc79f…4bfabacked Red Wings40c613.68$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb348…747ebacked Red Wings40c613.65$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ec…3bf7backed Red Wings40c604.78$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91a4…8ecfbacked Red Wings40c603.15$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Red Wings39c599.96$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.9851044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56e…9b79backed Red Wings40c598.85$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6a…6178backed Red Wings40c597.83$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+115.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7664…0d14backed Red Wings40c596.93$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba9…b9f7backed Red Wings40c596.9$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fea…8a72backed Red Wings40c587.28$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x759e…1650backed Red Wings40c586.4$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ad…4182backed Red Wings40c577.98$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e7…0100backed Red Wings40c568.23$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1628…ba56backed Red Wings40c552.5$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bae…4803backed Red Wings40c537.48$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ac…e9d3backed Red Wings40c527.03$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb63b…4f0ebacked Red Wings40c524.9$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9618…2b73backed Red Wings40c520.18$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7205…c47dbacked Red Wings40c516.9$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5816…097fbacked Red Wings40c516.08$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc744…0a68backed Red Wings40c514.7$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3619…2ee0backed Red Wings40c511.93$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc241…50bdbacked Red Wings40c509.95$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dbe…2997backed Red Wings40c506.03$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72c…090fbacked Red Wings40c501.63$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Red Wings39c499.98$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9920649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Utah61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a5…3b86backed Utah61c489.66$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33b5…b1e0backed Utah61c488.84$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.191346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Utah62c486.52$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ff…6c51backed Utah61c483.98$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.232045%9 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa24e…a1aabacked Red Wings40c467.98$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb14a…e1e5backed Red Wings40c467.98$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.