NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1afa48dccfdae1964bd77bd4667cc42b493c2094542103f71c49691a8568b6a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Wizards, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $384,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 747 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Jazz | 71c | 68,516$48,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,698.46 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Wizards | 41c | 40,851$16,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,873.14 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Wizards | 19c | 40,000$7,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,595.36 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Wizards | 36c | 14,052$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,030.37 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Wizards | 38c | 12,136$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,611.55 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz | 57c | 10,100$5,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,384.11 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…db29backed Wizards | 1c | 10,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed Wizards | 15c | 9,803$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.71 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Jazz | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.95 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Jazz | 47c | 8,864$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,698.07 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Jazz | 59c | 6,661$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.95 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 1c | 6,145$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Jazz | 73c | 5,494$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.83 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wizards | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Jazz | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 38c | 4,050$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.97 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…dc5dbacked Wizards | 1c | 3,450$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 58c | 3,191$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.78 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Jazz | 59c | 3,023$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.66 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Jazz | 78c | 2,887$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.19 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Jazz | 56c | 2,809$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.76 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Wizards | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Wizards | 39c | 2,470$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.5 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Wizards | 44c | 2,298$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.09 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Jazz | 56c | 2,229$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.42 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…d3ebbacked Jazz | 59c | 2,120$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…867ebacked Wizards | 44c | 2,120$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz | 58c | 2,070$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.4 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Wizards | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Wizards | 44c | 1,913$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.28 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz | 59c | 1,913$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.44 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Jazz | 62c | 1,892$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.83 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 45c | 1,753$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.14 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Jazz | 59c | 1,738$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.04 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 36c | 1,684$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.93 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf29d…a00fbacked Wizards | 37c | 1,584$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d10…b628backed Jazz | 63c | 1,584$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…a098backed Wizards | 57c | 1,523$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.6 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Wizards | 1c | 1,441$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Jazz | 60c | 1,354$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.49 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz | 63c | 1,316$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.92 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…3ea3backed Wizards | 44c | 1,174$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.45 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 36c | 1,113$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.46 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 1c | 1,080$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jazz | 55c | 1,044$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.8 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards | 48c | 1,040$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.6 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Jazz | 61c | 1,038$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.81 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Jazz | 59c | 1,000$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.68 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Wizards | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Jazz | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 44c | 999.95$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jazz | 60c | 972$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Jazz | 58c | 956.9$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.9 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Wizards | 43c | 939.26$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Wizards | 47c | 880.05$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.02 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Wizards | 11c | 868.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 38c | 790.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Jazz | 63c | 790.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.3 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 47c | 779.72$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.8 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Wizards | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Wizards | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Jazz | 57c | 700$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Jazz | 58c | 690$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.9 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Jazz | 61c | 660.66$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.66 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Wizards | 2c | 631.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Wizards | 3c | 629.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…dfc0backed Wizards | 19c | 624.09$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.65 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Jazz | 62c | 602.49$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Wizards | 8c | 599.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz | 59c | 599.96$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.98 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Wizards | 45c | 572.85$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.78 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Wizards | 19c | 530$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 41c | 527.44$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Jazz | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Wizards | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz | 61c | 499.94$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jazz | 57c | 483.45$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.47 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Jazz | 72c | 462.51$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…2e33backed Wizards | 45c | 441.67$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…532abacked Jazz | 56c | 410$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Wizards | 46c | 400.23$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Wizards | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.77 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…62b5backed Jazz | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Jazz | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Wizards | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Wizards | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Wizards | 31c | 350$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…2e5fbacked Wizards | 55c | 333.73$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…79e0backed Jazz | 58c | 325.55$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.73 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Jazz | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d0…8768backed Wizards | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jazz | 60c | 307.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Jazz | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Wizards | 41c | 285.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Wizards | 28c | 282.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz | 61c | 277.86$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab2…b7aabacked Jazz | 63c | 270.6$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.