TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mets vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metsof Mets, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,927 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2325…3c2bbacked Mets71c9,999$7,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2723…3b7bbacked Rockies29c9,998$2,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies16c8,963$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.772,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rockies1c4,500$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.24754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rockies17c2,254$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.4886751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies19c2,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.379,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rockies9c2,049$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.2240547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies3c2,024$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rockies30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Rockies1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockies1c1,842$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.455053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies28c1,821$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.941,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Mets72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockies4c1,341$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.991,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Mets80c1,251$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.177451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Mets77c1,039$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1923852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Rockies28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies29c999.96$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf065…1c51backed Mets72c821.38$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.996100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Rockies16c756.18$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4312335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Rockies6c725.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.282488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x17ab…cdcbbacked Mets72c695.34$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3412862.5%80 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Rockies29c665.99$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.147946.8%37 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rockies10c644.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6163942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies24c629.25$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.831,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Mets80c626.04$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2311058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mets70c558.72$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.625,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies20c525.23$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.771,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mets70c499.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9951151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Rockies29c499.95$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.681457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies27c478.08$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0897950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Rockies5c410.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5315644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed Mets77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9217149.7%85 W · 86 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae3f…12fabacked Rockies6c399.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2412025.8%31 W · 89 L-15.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd147…1070backed Mets73c358.11$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.113941%16 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rockies30c355.03$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5199951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Mets71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1125954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets71c351.8$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.82,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.472,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Rockies5c329.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4812314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mets71c316.55$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.321,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc93b…ae97backed Mets71c267.69$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.634864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies29c241.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.172,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockies12c235.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x265d…5329backed Mets79c216.75$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.757659.2%45 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Mets72c207.42$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.424269%29 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mets71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44dd…7153backed Rockies29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies29c197.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2521740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Rockies28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.424250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa26a…6d6ebacked Mets72c173.79$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.661752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b66…7554backed Mets71c163.18$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.325459.3%32 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rockies28c141.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.061,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Mets71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd249…6a1dbacked Mets72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.893100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…509abacked Mets74c131.01$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.754143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mets72c127.59$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.231,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d43…d78ebacked Rockies29c118$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e89…6f25backed Mets71c118$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe9…36ecbacked Rockies29c114$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Mets71c114$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0685047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc1e…3626backed Mets71c114$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b12…9273backed Mets71c110$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c0…253abacked Rockies29c110$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed Mets73c101.37$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.371741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mets71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2925416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6961…66a7backed Mets72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284139%16 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x941e…52fbbacked Mets72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed5…cc7bbacked Rockies30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcac3…bb73backed Rockies12c98.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0786…a500backed Rockies29c93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ea…65ecbacked Mets71c93$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Mets78c87.19$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1720343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6414…dde7backed Mets71c87$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…513fbacked Rockies29c87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb06…dbfabacked Mets71c76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b4…fc63backed Rockies29c76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets71c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.752,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rockies14c71.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.031,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d5…37e6backed Mets71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.422748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ea…459fbacked Rockies30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaf…0e07backed Rockies29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5241…f648backed Mets72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.449747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32db…4687backed Mets71c68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd53b…dcb7backed Rockies29c68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked Rockies26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.66532.3%21 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Rockies28c59.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.843542.1%183 W · 252 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7543…faecbacked Rockies29c58.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Mets71c57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5319849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mets71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2d…e348backed Mets71c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.518159.1%107 W · 74 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Mets71c45.07$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0774356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b6b…0b69backed Mets72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf56…7687backed Rockies29c40.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.871643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.250843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Rockies29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.151,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Mets73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2594455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Mets72c33.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3314257%81 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c77…bde7backed Mets71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.174052.5%21 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x909b…efe4backed Mets72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.