NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c78f8c9fdfa498fe5a6eb1b28698b8a16a67136942d203176fe18bd007562a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Jazz | 19c | 13,242$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.9 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…3589backed Jazz | 24c | 8,500$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz | 21c | 6,248$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.16 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 76c | 5,984$4,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.62 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Jazz | 2c | 5,025$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Jazz | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jazz | 23c | 5,000$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.45 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Jazz | 21c | 4,049$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.67 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked Jazz | 20c | 4,040$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 9c | 3,753$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz | 19c | 3,255$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.69 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz | 15c | 3,116$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.38 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz | 1c | 3,100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Jazz | 18c | 2,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Jazz | 21c | 2,573$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.43 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jazz | 5c | 2,400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…58debacked Jazz | 24c | 2,159$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.13 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Jazz | 1c | 2,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Thunder | 79c | 2,000$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.48 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Jazz | 1c | 1,857$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 79c | 1,600$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Thunder | 76c | 1,439$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.15 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Thunder | 77c | 1,330$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Jazz | 21c | 1,310$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jazz | 9c | 1,266$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Thunder | 79c | 1,251$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…721bbacked Thunder | 79c | 1,224$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Jazz | 5c | 1,076$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jazz | 22c | 1,040$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.34 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Jazz | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz | 21c | 1,000$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.09 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Jazz | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 78c | 974.56$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Jazz | 21c | 777.35$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.61 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz | 16c | 740.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.42 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Jazz | 7c | 600$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Jazz | 20c | 500.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Thunder | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 19c | 495.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Thunder | 78c | 455$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Jazz | 9c | 403.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Jazz | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d92…83efbacked Jazz | 14c | 399.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Jazz | 9c | 398.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Jazz | 18c | 376.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Thunder | 77c | 363.26$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…bb46backed Thunder | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Jazz | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jazz | 20c | 244.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Jazz | 21c | 242.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Jazz | 19c | 237.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b5…e4f0backed Jazz | 18c | 222.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz | 8c | 215.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…fbb8backed Thunder | 77c | 206.14$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Thunder | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jazz | 22c | 174$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Jazz | 15c | 156.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…e8ebbacked Thunder | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…4038backed Thunder | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Thunder | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411c…e9c0backed Jazz | 10c | 115$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 107 | 24.3%26 W · 81 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…f310backed Thunder | 77c | 113.34$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Jazz | 10c | 111.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Jazz | 13c | 108.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Jazz | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed Thunder | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…7fddbacked Thunder | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Thunder | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Thunder | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Thunder | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Thunder | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…8fd1backed Jazz | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…2182backed Thunder | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…cc7bbacked Jazz | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde59…9c5bbacked Jazz | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…d964backed Thunder | 77c | 96.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…5d39backed Jazz | 20c | 90.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Jazz | 19c | 89.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Thunder | 77c | 88.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Jazz | 19c | 87.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…d666backed Jazz | 21c | 86.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…e983backed Jazz | 21c | 80.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Jazz | 18c | 79.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Jazz | 22c | 78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Thunder | 80c | 73.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…78fbbacked Jazz | 19c | 73.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0084…4c4fbacked Thunder | 78c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7824…286fbacked Jazz | 15c | 65.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d35…f346backed Jazz | 20c | 62.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878f…0084backed Jazz | 20c | 57.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…8a3fbacked Jazz | 20c | 56.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca83…748fbacked Thunder | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8645…dc74backed Thunder | 80c | 33.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ca…6adfbacked Thunder | 80c | 33.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…d545backed Thunder | 80c | 32.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…8301backed Thunder | 80c | 32.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc739…c3fcbacked Thunder | 80c | 31.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Thunder | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 345 | 48.7%168 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.