NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07e3b6d668a8338af02d4ffd7188fa6d854bcf150ed8141633b53582011ea6a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Flyers, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bd0…0f3fbacked Flyers | 29c | 10,011$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…afd7backed Flyers | 29c | 10,011$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…c30ebacked Lightning | 71c | 9,996$7,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…173abacked Flyers | 29c | 9,996$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd564…d3a9backed Lightning | 71c | 9,995$7,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…a159backed Lightning | 71c | 9,991$7,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…38cfbacked Flyers | 29c | 9,990$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a0…a79abacked Lightning | 71c | 9,973$7,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Flyers | 27c | 7,486$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Flyers | 28c | 3,546$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.12 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Lightning | 72c | 2,605$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.46 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lightning | 72c | 2,531$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.58 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Lightning | 71c | 2,387$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.96 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Flyers | 32c | 1,898$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Flyers | 28c | 1,794$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.32 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lightning | 70c | 1,731$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.35 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Lightning | 72c | 1,499$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Flyers | 28c | 1,499$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flyers | 27c | 1,480$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.48 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…cd8cbacked Lightning | 70c | 1,444$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…a2cabacked Flyers | 30c | 1,442$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flyers | 27c | 1,313$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.83 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Flyers | 29c | 1,200$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.65 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 68c | 1,163$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.18 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe344…90d0backed Lightning | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…f313backed Flyers | 29c | 999.72$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Flyers | 12c | 888$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6293…ce8abacked Lightning | 72c | 801.93$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Lightning | 75c | 740$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Flyers | 26c | 739.93$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.38 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Lightning | 74c | 720.27$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.27 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 73c | 711$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.97 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Lightning | 75c | 665.33$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.33 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 73c | 620.05$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.41 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Flyers | 24c | 590.76$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.16 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Flyers | 25c | 554.79$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 31c | 504.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5610…bd3abacked Flyers | 29c | 418.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…7013backed Flyers | 29c | 379.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec16…07f9backed Lightning | 73c | 376.71$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flyers | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…3b5fbacked Flyers | 29c | 354.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…c858backed Lightning | 72c | 350$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…c45cbacked Lightning | 75c | 333.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf384…9014backed Flyers | 30c | 331.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…34e6backed Lightning | 71c | 290$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Lightning | 72c | 276.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Lightning | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Lightning | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa191…7facbacked Lightning | 72c | 264.47$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2210…2656backed Flyers | 29c | 249.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…8b69backed Flyers | 7c | 222$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Lightning | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…16dfbacked Flyers | 27c | 194.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…59f6backed Flyers | 27c | 193.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Flyers | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Lightning | 72c | 184.72$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Lightning | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9d…9865backed Lightning | 71c | 174.61$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers | 13c | 170.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf41…7559backed Lightning | 71c | 163.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Lightning | 71c | 163.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Lightning | 72c | 161.05$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…cbb1backed Flyers | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…fc99backed Lightning | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…c6c4backed Lightning | 73c | 157.64$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Lightning | 73c | 150.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9de…02acbacked Lightning | 72c | 147.34$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Lightning | 72c | 145.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb83…bf03backed Lightning | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…6437backed Flyers | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…a7a6backed Lightning | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…cbb5backed Lightning | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…45fdbacked Flyers | 27c | 138.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Lightning | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Lightning | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Lightning | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Lightning | 73c | 136.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…f057backed Flyers | 28c | 135.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…f2d3backed Flyers | 27c | 134.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 71c | 118.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…fc79backed Lightning | 73c | 116.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 75c | 111.51$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…2468backed Flyers | 28c | 110.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Flyers | 29c | 108.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…84e3backed Flyers | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc4…8c38backed Lightning | 76c | 103.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…e009backed Flyers | 30c | 100.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lightning | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a08…8630backed Flyers | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Lightning | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d9…3535backed Lightning | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20fa…5ed9backed Lightning | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fb…ca7abacked Flyers | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bed…cd34backed Lightning | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Flyers | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6545…03c5backed Flyers | 30c | 96.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…c10ebacked Lightning | 71c | 96.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.