NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x589f55db23c6df7791fc771054c671d79013df4f77e7bd2846aba64cad544927
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Wizards, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 744 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 34c | 15,405$5,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,257.21 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Wizards | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 7,196$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.97 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Wizards | 33c | 7,081$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.77 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Trail Blazers | 65c | 6,437$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.87 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 1c | 6,200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 6,084$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.08 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Wizards | 34c | 5,068$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.5 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad71…4c93backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…9802backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 4,948$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.89 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 32c | 4,550$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.66 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Wizards | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 2,639$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.86 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 2,279$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Trail Blazers | 78c | 2,132$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.24 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers | 66c | 2,070$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.2 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers | 74c | 2,050$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.6 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Wizards | 34c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.98 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Trail Blazers | 64c | 1,997$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 1,871$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.46 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Wizards | 34c | 1,794$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.96 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Wizards | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Wizards | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 1,498$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 1,491$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Wizards | 34c | 1,294$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.2 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Trail Blazers | 69c | 1,265$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.19 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…f019backed Wizards | 16c | 1,261$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Trail Blazers | 65c | 1,044$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.36 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Wizards | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Wizards | 9c | 999.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 962$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.46 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 920$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.4 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Trail Blazers | 79c | 881.94$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.83 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Wizards | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 664.69$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.47 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Trail Blazers | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 598.42$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.42 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Wizards | 34c | 595.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 36c | 589.8$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.26 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Wizards | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Wizards | 17c | 578.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…22cfbacked Wizards | 36c | 500.36$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.13 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Trail Blazers | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Trail Blazers | 78c | 454.94$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…9d0cbacked Wizards | 36c | 444.36$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…e8b4backed Wizards | 36c | 436.44$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.12 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Trail Blazers | 66c | 400$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Wizards | 30c | 377.45$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Trail Blazers | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 332.97$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Wizards | 10c | 325$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wizards | 32c | 320.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 33c | 319.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Wizards | 7c | 307.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Wizards | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Wizards | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…639bbacked Trail Blazers | 65c | 301.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.55 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Wizards | 33c | 301.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Trail Blazers | 63c | 300.59$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…f87fbacked Wizards | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Trail Blazers | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…2468backed Wizards | 37c | 298.95$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Wizards | 33c | 298$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…e263backed Trail Blazers | 64c | 296.7$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Wizards | 34c | 295.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wizards | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…ea9abacked Trail Blazers | 65c | 288.6$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706d…0f3cbacked Trail Blazers | 64c | 285.19$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…4e59backed Wizards | 33c | 283.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…1063backed Wizards | 8c | 275$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Trail Blazers | 66c | 244$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…fc79backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 239.48$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…7a1cbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 230$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…b720backed Wizards | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…541dbacked Wizards | 33c | 215.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…cc42backed Trail Blazers | 64c | 205.56$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c28…3bcabacked Wizards | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb6…71b9backed Wizards | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…b24cbacked Wizards | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f37…6c72backed Wizards | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…affbbacked Wizards | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…97d8backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…a566backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d6…86bdbacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950b…6d88backed Wizards | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…17d0backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa379…789cbacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…3ab5backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…446cbacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…2f77backed Wizards | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8119…59debacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160e…cf5fbacked Wizards | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.