TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,417 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks28c11,978$3,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,370.471,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes69c9,400$6,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,946.5610743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Hurricanes67c1,949$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.482864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55de…aed6backed Ducks34c1,718$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.9540%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae31…d0e4backed Hurricanes66c1,718$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Ducks34c1,550$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.931,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks32c1,352$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.441,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Ducks32c1,145$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.3911533%38 W · 77 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks1c1,035$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.291,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Hurricanes66c1,009$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.0923761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Hurricanes66c1,005$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.722842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Hurricanes67c650$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1337254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Hurricanes67c583.57$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5349351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ducks34c576.69$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.593,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Ducks33c327.09$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9137738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Hurricanes68c313$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3324457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10272444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Hurricanes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.517251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hurricanes65c269.87$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Hurricanes67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6650857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Hurricanes71c177.97$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.615170.6%36 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Ducks33c174.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.68932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Hurricanes66c156.14$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.198959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bea…3403backed Ducks33c146.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.771163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x623d…4b22backed Ducks33c146.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.19850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6eb…51e9backed Ducks36c139.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Hurricanes65c125$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hurricanes66c123.3$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Hurricanes66c109.09$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0920861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Hurricanes79c101.37$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3715470.1%108 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hurricanes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3235154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcea…efa2backed Hurricanes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Ducks33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3350049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes66c94.28$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Hurricanes66c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.27048.6%34 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77a1…489bbacked Hurricanes68c79.81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6444…57c3backed Hurricanes68c77.53$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Hurricanes66c74.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7530155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Hurricanes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.634257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x358a…6d19backed Hurricanes68c73.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+67.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Ducks35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x936d…9544backed Hurricanes68c67.93$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.741050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Ducks33c65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.457936.7%29 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Ducks33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2097955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef89…73e2backed Hurricanes68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.823271.9%23 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ed…e039backed Ducks34c53.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.03875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed5…cc7bbacked Hurricanes66c51.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.521752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db4…f62abacked Ducks35c51.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Hurricanes80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Ducks33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x427f…086ebacked Hurricanes67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Ducks34c44.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1545954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4429…2e4dbacked Hurricanes67c43.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.698669.8%60 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30b7…66d4backed Ducks35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7df9…bcfabacked Ducks33c40.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa16f…fdcabacked Ducks35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda9f…00bebacked Hurricanes66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.64763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc59…a855backed Ducks35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Hurricanes68c39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4817553.1%93 W · 82 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35bd…92b6backed Ducks35c37.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…b259backed Ducks33c34.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+66.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c8b…df8ebacked Ducks35c32.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b3…f4eebacked Hurricanes66c31.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.773852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Hurricanes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.311655.2%64 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9734…4617backed Hurricanes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.343456%243 W · 191 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb398…170abacked Hurricanes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Hurricanes77c30.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9713348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1e…394abacked Ducks35c29.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Hurricanes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4117363%109 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e6…cbb5backed Hurricanes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.414271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdea3…baebbacked Hurricanes68c28.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb728…91ecbacked Hurricanes68c27.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb5b…295cbacked Hurricanes66c27.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.271163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2f…ce20backed Hurricanes66c26.55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.03560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Hurricanes68c26.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4139757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcd…a1a5backed Hurricanes66c23.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed0…dfeebacked Hurricanes68c23.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.45988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+49.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe84c…279dbacked Hurricanes66c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.826071.7%43 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac9…cc1bbacked Hurricanes66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.73933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bc4…8c38backed Hurricanes68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.069567.4%64 W · 31 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8129…e82fbacked Hurricanes68c21.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5477…8135backed Hurricanes66c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.14425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Hurricanes66c20.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.92948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f12…6027backed Hurricanes66c18.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefcd…421fbacked Hurricanes68c17.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1713…c94dbacked Hurricanes66c17.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa961…af51backed Hurricanes68c16.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.28966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…c85fbacked Hurricanes68c16.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.171040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.