TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc59…a855

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.64
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.65
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.64
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$12.77
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$9.73
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+105.5%+$14.53
Hurricanes vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Flyers vs. Blackhawksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Bruins vs. Sharksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+98.4%+$24.61
Blues vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.7
Capitals vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$11.76
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$14.72
Penguins vs. Wildbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+185.7%+$20.43
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.94
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$19.38
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$14.72
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$9.76
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.6
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+150%+$19.5
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.1
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.55
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$9.84
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+51.5%+$14.42
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Mavericks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+104.1%+$21.86
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$16.91
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guardians vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$23.83
Braves vs. Piratesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary'sbacked St. Mary's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.