NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x299cde4f3ae8c7431bfbbcd4d69b51ea2e70d42a401d7d0b92f5ae8eaffa4fcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Hornets, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $505,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $541,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $505,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Hornets | 0c | 88,337$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.37 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Hornets | 15c | 42,376$6,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,156.54 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Hornets | 0c | 24,167$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 22c | 18,762$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Hornets | 8c | 17,332$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.63 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pistons | 78c | 15,086$11,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.45 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Hornets | 6c | 12,062$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.18 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets | 6c | 11,683$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.85 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Hornets | 6c | 10,553$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Hornets | 7c | 8,708$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.02 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Pistons | 79c | 8,231$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.9 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Hornets | 16c | 6,963$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.84 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 1c | 6,748$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Hornets | 1c | 6,211$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Hornets | 4c | 5,687$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.25 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hornets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Hornets | 21c | 4,979$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets | 6c | 4,878$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.97 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons | 79c | 4,554$3,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.42 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets | 2c | 4,105$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Pistons | 79c | 3,517$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.01 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hornets | 22c | 3,000$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.52 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a3…24bdbacked Hornets | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Hornets | 3c | 3,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Pistons | 79c | 2,540$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.73 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Hornets | 1c | 2,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Hornets | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Hornets | 15c | 2,482$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.31 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons | 79c | 2,414$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.52 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 0c | 2,350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Hornets | 22c | 2,295$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.81 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Hornets | 0c | 2,200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hornets | 2c | 2,140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Hornets | 25c | 2,016$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pistons | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…0e43backed Hornets | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Hornets | 19c | 1,902$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.37 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…79e4backed Pistons | 79c | 1,700$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…b2bdbacked Hornets | 16c | 1,700$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons | 78c | 1,615$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.29 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pistons | 79c | 1,603$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.78 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Hornets | 16c | 1,564$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.36 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Pistons | 80c | 1,405$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.5 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 1c | 1,377$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Hornets | 2c | 1,250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pistons | 79c | 1,229$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.09 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Hornets | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…1a72backed Hornets | 1c | 1,086$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons | 79c | 1,001$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.82 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Hornets | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Hornets | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Hornets | 21c | 999.91$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Hornets | 13c | 975.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Hornets | 22c | 931.16$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.01 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Pistons | 79c | 874.84$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Hornets | 15c | 851.93$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Hornets | 19c | 841.46$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Hornets | 2c | 833.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hornets | 20c | 700$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 7c | 693.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Pistons | 79c | 684.9$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Pistons | 79c | 621.31$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.48 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Pistons | 80c | 611.76$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Hornets | 17c | 605.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets | 18c | 600.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Hornets | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hornets | 22c | 577$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.16 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…3774backed Hornets | 18c | 553.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pistons | 80c | 535.9$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…f1cdbacked Hornets | 3c | 516.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Hornets | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Hornets | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Hornets | 19c | 499.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…14a7backed Hornets | 16c | 493.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Hornets | 6c | 475.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…58debacked Hornets | 5c | 400.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…3fb1backed Hornets | 11c | 396$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Hornets | 19c | 376.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pistons | 79c | 370.55$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Hornets | 16c | 355$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Hornets | 16c | 352.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf910…cba2backed Hornets | 14c | 345.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…c70cbacked Hornets | 15c | 343.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…f792backed Hornets | 15c | 340$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…e26fbacked Pistons | 79c | 302.31$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Pistons | 78c | 300$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Pistons | 79c | 299.98$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…dc04backed Hornets | 21c | 290.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Hornets | 19c | 287.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76fa…1d80backed Hornets | 18c | 279.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Hornets | 19c | 263$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…2f22backed Hornets | 21c | 247.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…819fbacked Hornets | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Hornets | 22c | 231.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hornets | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…b976backed Hornets | 18c | 222.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Hornets | 22c | 215.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Hornets | 18c | 205.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Hornets | 19c | 188.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.