TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Avalanche, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Wild41c18,228$7,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,807.087758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x616f…e996backed Wild39c9,511$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,801.49683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick42cpaid+96.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche59c7,800$4,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche61c7,712$4,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,709.791,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Avalanche60c4,718$2,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8111,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Avalanche47c3,723$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.54450%22 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1e…8bf1backed Avalanche61c3,194$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5493…3b86backed Wild39c3,194$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Avalanche1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wild67c1,814$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.731,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Avalanche59c1,692$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.1249351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Avalanche37c1,613$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60121620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Wild59c1,541$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.7432331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Wild38c1,406$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.5422842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild53c1,240$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.453,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Wild39c1,156$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.4112941.9%54 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild37c1,052$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.71,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d5f…1aecbacked Wild39c1,040$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x242c…75bebacked Avalanche61c1,040$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Avalanche61c1,004$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.441136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9dd…a1d9backed Wild39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wild40c863.06$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.921,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Avalanche62c858.06$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53231753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Avalanche60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wild40c654.96$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.9875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Wild40c650.97$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.0172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Avalanche34c585.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480c…81f2backed Wild36c551.74$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.34540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche64c531.73$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Avalanche59c472$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.4879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Wild39c449.95$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.4715663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Avalanche60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Avalanche60c399.93$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.131849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae29…2730backed Wild40c348.9$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.341650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaefb…8d0bbacked Avalanche60c341.37$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+52.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Avalanche59c338.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18637254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Avalanche58c293.1$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.781,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5161…771ebacked Avalanche60c270.7$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.421947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e0…7341backed Wild41c262.9$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.11850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked Avalanche58c262.38$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.182927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Wild40c253.3$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6437738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf4…665ebacked Avalanche66c249$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.341050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33a…454abacked Wild34c249$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.341471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf88…c68dbacked Avalanche62c244.34$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.491136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x768b…4ac3backed Avalanche66c241$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.061050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…b4e5backed Wild34c241$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.06875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Wild41c238.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.811662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2269…1a89backed Wild40c234.13$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.481668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c51…1a0dbacked Avalanche66c232$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1270%0 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc6e1…3348backed Wild34c232$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.121330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4169…eab3backed Avalanche62c223.15$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.242556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x855a…0985backed Wild40c216.43$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.861850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2fb…783fbacked Wild40c209.7$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.822133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5457…90d8backed Avalanche66c208$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.281030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x438e…b01abacked Wild41c203.44$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.032556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a7…141cbacked Avalanche66c201$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.66757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ae…9463backed Wild34c201$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.661172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+61.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce19…08a6backed Avalanche62c198.02$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.772759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de4…548fbacked Avalanche62c192.21$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.171741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ab…fc79backed Wild40c191.19$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.462458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c8d…bf79backed Avalanche60c184.42$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.652365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b9a…8f02backed Avalanche60c181.6$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.961963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x291f…dc62backed Wild41c174.27$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.821546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4e…b5efbacked Avalanche59c170.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.311346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Avalanche59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007256.9%41 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Wild71c167.94$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.178347%39 W · 44 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Avalanche63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Avalanche30c151.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6330155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d37…f343backed Wild40c145.28$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.161442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a3…2a65backed Wild37c142$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.46944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…cc42backed Wild41c134.66$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.451650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1417…26dabacked Avalanche32c134.6$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Avalanche70c132.86$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Avalanche59c132$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8830549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfd…7f88backed Wild41c127.15$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.02450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche59c127.01$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.973157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Wild35c125.95$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.665345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Wild40c123.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.41428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3217…2dcebacked Wild41c123.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.661770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc709…1787backed Wild39c123$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+115.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c3c…a6b6backed Avalanche61c123$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Avalanche56c121.27$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.524831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Avalanche61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.251044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Avalanche61c118.07$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.319554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Avalanche59c118$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdf…b489backed Avalanche60c117.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.252356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b7…2531backed Wild41c112.15$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.175100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+106.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1559…ec6dbacked Avalanche64c110$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eef…7b31backed Wild36c110$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+123.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wild74c103.4$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x885a…0b49backed Wild41c102.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.71070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7897…ea9abacked Wild40c102.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.722166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Wild36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6435154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Wild41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5928542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde37…3624backed Wild68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Avalanche60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa954…b8edbacked Avalanche60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.