NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03f65232c798cf5694fe18e419ef43214c16078deff483bc5b77446ab1a247c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Utah, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a21…4660backed Utah | 58c | 6,898$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7782…5239backed Kraken | 42c | 5,400$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,131.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Utah | 18c | 3,981$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.21 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah | 58c | 3,969$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.07 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Kraken | 46c | 3,843$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.48 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Utah | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Utah | 56c | 2,855$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.93 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…2d82backed Kraken | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Kraken | 53c | 2,147$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.46 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Kraken | 48c | 2,094$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.38 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Utah | 55c | 1,501$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Kraken | 45c | 1,498$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Utah | 9c | 1,388$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Utah | 39c | 1,216$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.38 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Kraken | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Kraken | 45c | 1,136$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken | 44c | 1,034$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.25 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Kraken | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Kraken | 42c | 999.93$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.96 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c7…ae99backed Kraken | 43c | 990$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Kraken | 41c | 969.79$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.18 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x004b…004abacked Utah | 56c | 964$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Utah | 54c | 901.71$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.93 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef1…9748backed Utah | 58c | 880$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Utah | 49c | 750$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kraken | 43c | 579.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.44 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…ec50backed Kraken | 46c | 573$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa769…f52dbacked Utah | 55c | 550$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…f370backed Utah | 55c | 532$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Utah | 55c | 506.99$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.98 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…b723backed Kraken | 43c | 501$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Utah | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…454abacked Kraken | 44c | 455$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…2d8fbacked Kraken | 43c | 450$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 32c | 434.28$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.44 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah | 46c | 423.72$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.22 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Utah | 57c | 409.96$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.68 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Kraken | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6800…5cf5backed Utah | 57c | 399$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.43 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…9463backed Kraken | 43c | 399$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah | 58c | 361.9$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Kraken | 45c | 360.97$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.88 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…cbcbbacked Kraken | 43c | 347$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…e9c2backed Utah | 57c | 347$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Utah | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Kraken | 45c | 331.91$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.55 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…3af5backed Kraken | 45c | 308.62$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Kraken | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…fcf1backed Utah | 57c | 292$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44bd…6e0cbacked Utah | 57c | 287$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…a0a0backed Utah | 57c | 244$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b85…f51cbacked Kraken | 43c | 241$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.37 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93c5…6132backed Utah | 55c | 230.29$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kraken | 46c | 219.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…1a9dbacked Utah | 57c | 206$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…7a24backed Kraken | 43c | 194$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…c43abacked Utah | 57c | 194$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32c0…8ac2backed Kraken | 45c | 189$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…aa19backed Utah | 57c | 178$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe32…5e5dbacked Kraken | 43c | 178$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5457…90d8backed Utah | 56c | 171$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Utah | 59c | 170.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…7ee2backed Kraken | 43c | 170$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…5457backed Utah | 57c | 170$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Utah | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Utah | 57c | 169.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…6045backed Kraken | 47c | 167$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0532…0b95backed Utah | 55c | 166.96$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Kraken | 43c | 158.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Utah | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…f019backed Utah | 62c | 148.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Kraken | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed Utah | 55c | 127.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5847…b159backed Kraken | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…d61bbacked Utah | 57c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…5dc7backed Kraken | 45c | 120.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3e…efcfbacked Utah | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…6b5cbacked Kraken | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kraken | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…634dbacked Kraken | 44c | 118.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1da…604cbacked Utah | 57c | 115$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…a19cbacked Kraken | 43c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Utah | 57c | 114.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22b9…6992backed Utah | 57c | 114$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…24d3backed Kraken | 43c | 114$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…433bbacked Kraken | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Kraken | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Kraken | 46c | 109.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…939ebacked Kraken | 43c | 106$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b18…51ffbacked Utah | 57c | 106$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…3ff7backed Utah | 57c | 104$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ba…83e2backed Kraken | 43c | 104$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 44c | 101.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Kraken | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Utah | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19b…478dbacked Utah | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e1…db4dbacked Utah | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…33c8backed Kraken | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Kraken | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518c…4ad0backed Kraken | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.