MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3e97776ba8dedd3788e9f953272b32161f89f673c378d1a8e088ada10971740
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Braves, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 11c | 21,574$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.28 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Braves | 68c | 21,527$14,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,622.23 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pirates | 32c | 12,928$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,789.11 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 32c | 5,804$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.13 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 55c | 3,200$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 32c | 2,170$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.86 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Pirates | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Braves | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Braves | 22c | 1,476$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.8 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…4efebacked Pirates | 35c | 1,308$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.93 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Braves | 2c | 1,023$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pirates | 32c | 999.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.98 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Braves | 66c | 582.99$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.77 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 35c | 576.03$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.42 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Braves | 66c | 444.96$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.78 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Braves | 21c | 419$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 65c | 395.82$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.42 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pirates | 44c | 354$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.44 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Braves | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pirates | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Pirates | 35c | 226.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa364…4711backed Braves | 45c | 220.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Pirates | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Braves | 48c | 147.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 38c | 140$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Pirates | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Braves | 10c | 137.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Braves | 18c | 130.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Braves | 33c | 129.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Braves | 47c | 128.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 44c | 114.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…6ffebacked Braves | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pirates | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Pirates | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Braves | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Pirates | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Braves | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…03edbacked Pirates | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Braves | 46c | 95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…8444backed Braves | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Braves | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…667abacked Braves | 67c | 73.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…7a72backed Pirates | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 46c | 72.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Braves | 66c | 66.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Braves | 62c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…fcd9backed Braves | 67c | 61.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…a6a6backed Pirates | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Braves | 69c | 60.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Pirates | 34c | 54.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…ee80backed Pirates | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Pirates | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Braves | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…c36cbacked Pirates | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Pirates | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…8f46backed Pirates | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Braves | 67c | 37.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Braves | 54c | 36.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves | 65c | 36.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…8ce2backed Braves | 49c | 35.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Pirates | 34c | 32.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Braves | 65c | 30.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…46c5backed Braves | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…ed97backed Braves | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Braves | 64c | 30.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda9f…00bebacked Pirates | 34c | 29.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…a855backed Braves | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…5468backed Braves | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates | 47c | 26.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Braves | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ce…ac67backed Braves | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.