NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x227b73e549e8f8a8d5503cf9e8acacefde0b3734324b697df66970ccb2e3a731
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,031,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,306,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,031,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 707 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Cavaliers | 2c | 70,821$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.68 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0211…8073backed Cavaliers | 55c | 51,015$28,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,058.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe425…6155backed Celtics | 45c | 51,000$22,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,049.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…bf26backed Cavaliers | 56c | 33,580$18,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,729.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Cavaliers | 17c | 29,691$4,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,978.14 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cavaliers | 20c | 28,734$5,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,726.85 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 10c | 28,706$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.54 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Cavaliers | 8c | 21,592$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.93 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Cavaliers | 8c | 17,954$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.72 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Cavaliers | 19c | 17,687$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.4 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cavaliers | 54c | 17,149$9,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,260.2 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Celtics | 46c | 17,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,099.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Cavaliers | 12c | 13,434$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.41 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cavaliers | 12c | 12,208$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.96 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Celtics | 47c | 11,379$5,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,026.36 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Celtics | 49c | 8,384$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,280.27 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 6,750$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.48 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9b…a66dbacked Cavaliers | 14c | 6,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers | 39c | 6,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.91 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Cavaliers | 21c | 5,526$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.89 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Cavaliers | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Celtics | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Celtics | 80c | 3,745$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.24 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…739fbacked Celtics | 46c | 3,381$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,750$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Celtics | 47c | 2,717$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.39 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Cavaliers | 11c | 2,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Celtics | 47c | 2,500$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.98 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…dbdcbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,293$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Cavaliers | 16c | 2,060$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Celtics | 80c | 2,015$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.03 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Cavaliers | 15c | 2,006$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Celtics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cavaliers | 6c | 2,000$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,953$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.32 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cavaliers | 1c | 1,945$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,919$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Cavaliers | 1c | 1,900$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…e123backed Celtics | 46c | 1,900$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Celtics | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.98 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Celtics | 48c | 1,892$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.75 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,808$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.15 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,682$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.24 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,525$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.47 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,503$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.51 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Cavaliers | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Cavaliers | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,386$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.84 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,306$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.24 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Cavaliers | 24c | 1,274$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.54 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…9cc7backed Cavaliers | 3c | 1,205$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,202$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.98 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cavaliers | 1c | 1,150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Cavaliers | 20c | 1,103$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.45 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Celtics | 58c | 1,101$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.32 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…1e3cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Celtics | 47c | 1,078$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.41 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Cavaliers | 12c | 1,058$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Celtics | 46c | 1,047$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.4 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ec…f502backed Celtics | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.71 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Cavaliers | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Celtics | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Celtics | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Celtics | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Celtics | 46c | 986.63$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.89 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…99eabacked Cavaliers | 14c | 900$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373c…2456backed Cavaliers | 54c | 899$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Cavaliers | 54c | 894.3$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.92 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf318…0cdcbacked Cavaliers | 2c | 856.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Cavaliers | 54c | 721.15$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.42 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…0982backed Cavaliers | 54c | 714.81$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…a393backed Cavaliers | 55c | 692.73$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Cavaliers | 17c | 633.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Cavaliers | 7c | 626$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Celtics | 49c | 604.96$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.53 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Cavaliers | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…d2ebbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 597.52$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…fd21backed Cavaliers | 55c | 590.62$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Celtics | 46c | 588.21$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.93 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Celtics | 48c | 584$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.68 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Celtics | 49c | 562.41$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.83 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…929ebacked Cavaliers | 20c | 554.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…d268backed Cavaliers | 55c | 550$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Cavaliers | 29c | 522.11$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Celtics | 45c | 505$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.75 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 503.68$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.61 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Cavaliers | 55c | 502.8$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.54 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers | 51c | 502.41$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.25 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6d…a13fbacked Celtics | 80c | 502.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…de7abacked Celtics | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd872…55ccbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a057backed Celtics | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…1305backed Cavaliers | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.