TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Trail Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$402,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$485,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 763 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5314…910cbacked Trail Blazers15c37,736$5,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,696.0233931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers12c35,092$4,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,287.443,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0e…78ddbacked Trail Blazers43c21,000$8,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,939.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Trail Blazers0c12,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons59c11,000$6,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5101,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x242e…ee63backed Trail Blazers41c8,566$3,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,477.162568%17 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+40.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons57c7,800$4,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,353.481,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Trail Blazers42c7,695$3,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,26011443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c70…232abacked Trail Blazers41c5,854$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4005337.7%20 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Pistons75c5,000$3,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.0329858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pistons56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.981,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Trail Blazers39c4,893$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.0930351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons60c4,720$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.249849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Trail Blazers3c4,417$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.28783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers1c4,398$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.771,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Trail Blazers24c4,350$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.4917546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15bb…42bbbacked Pistons57c3,680$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c5…b960backed Pistons58c3,650$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985e…9b74backed Pistons57c3,580$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff1…b6f0backed Pistons61c2,787$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x928c…c1d8backed Trail Blazers40c2,718$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Trail Blazers41c2,714$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.882,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7a…8b82backed Trail Blazers43c2,584$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.26650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Trail Blazers43c2,394$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.3113929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pistons59c2,305$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.7261345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Trail Blazers41c2,170$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.3861835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Pistons67c2,165$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.6628347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Pistons72c2,121$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.725865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Trail Blazers41c2,113$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.518219.5%16 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a0d…68edbacked Pistons60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Pistons56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9929747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9106…d826backed Trail Blazers39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Trail Blazers22c1,955$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.2729450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Trail Blazers42c1,894$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.399836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Trail Blazers1c1,857$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.637502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pistons56c1,599$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.251,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d1…40fdbacked Trail Blazers43c1,596$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b5…8833backed Pistons57c1,446$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Pistons58c1,382$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.8917943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Pistons58c1,375$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.7193036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f5…7f75backed Pistons75c1,309$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c93…d494backed Pistons57c1,274$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.661060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Trail Blazers24c1,254$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x646a…bc7ebacked Trail Blazers44c1,240$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…49ecbacked Trail Blazers43c1,230$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a26…6b2fbacked Trail Blazers44c1,226$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff5…cd20backed Trail Blazers43c1,215$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4498…ec70backed Trail Blazers43c1,210$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f94…256bbacked Trail Blazers44c1,205$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f84…f0babacked Trail Blazers44c1,204$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c8…233dbacked Trail Blazers43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8433…c6e5backed Trail Blazers44c1,188$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Trail Blazers40c1,169$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.662351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Pistons61c1,128$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.0723554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Trail Blazers40c1,075$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43011939.5%47 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pistons57c1,034$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.5372341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Pistons56c1,004$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.751145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c40…5f2cbacked Trail Blazers44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Trail Blazers40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027848.9%136 W · 142 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Trail Blazers10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Trail Blazers42c994.03$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.4956945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pistons59c992.8$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.751,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Trail Blazers27c980.53$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.0688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Trail Blazers3c911.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4610018%18 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pistons69c847.77$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5870640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e0…14adbacked Pistons61c841.04$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.541957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Trail Blazers13c820.88$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2247229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Trail Blazers42c797.58$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.8337734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Pistons60c783.24$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.1833752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Pistons72c727.63$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9215341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Pistons68c717.69$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.6666744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e9…a868backed Pistons57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Pistons58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6612759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Pistons61c653.42$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.4217363.6%110 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Pistons58c643$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0614161%86 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pistons60c639.74$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.6727735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Pistons57c619.94$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.7822955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2581,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons59c595$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2411,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeefb…d354backed Trail Blazers43c583.72$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-68.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba9e…97c0backed Pistons58c580$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.6785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+52.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Pistons57c561.4$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.438942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Pistons66c558.01$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.4817256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Trail Blazers14c550.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8137011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae1e…d204backed Pistons57c548.38$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Pistons60c504.82$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.9326640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pistons65c500$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1761,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pistons59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ffd…d225backed Trail Blazers18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013043.8%57 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked Trail Blazers39c499.97$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.992755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Trail Blazers42c499.97$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9936434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Trail Blazers42c458.51$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.855728.1%16 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Trail Blazers44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Trail Blazers35c439.6$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4715365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Pistons57c430$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.92352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Trail Blazers40c401$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3973647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Pistons75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003571.4%25 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Trail Blazers10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Trail Blazers43c364$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5257760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.