TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Penguins vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Penguinsof Penguins, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,913 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Rangers66c8,707$5,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,742.993865.8%25 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins45c5,772$2,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.4992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58d8…d61fbacked Rangers53c5,762$3,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,053.81837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac3…f3b0backed Penguins35c5,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,575633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0211…8073backed Rangers65c5,500$3,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,575333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Rangers32c4,982$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.18950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Penguins33c4,225$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.8222842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Penguins33c3,044$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.1324546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Penguins34c2,465$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.9620147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Penguins33c2,386$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.489459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Rangers44c2,343$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.732331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Penguins41c2,200$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.91338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins34c2,183$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.11,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Penguins33c1,750$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.4929847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Penguins33c1,613$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.6949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Penguins34c1,488$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.0218520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Rangers66c1,209$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.9727958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers34c1,064$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.391,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…590bbacked Penguins22c1,030$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.61333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rangers67c1,021$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.1323761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7488…a277backed Penguins36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6401100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Penguins34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66025340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…f2f2backed Rangers64c999.93$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x321f…7f25backed Rangers69c969.94$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.26616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-73.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x78ab…c5f7backed Penguins66c951$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.471154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Penguins69c728.83$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.943148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins35c605$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.3572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rangers65c518.43$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.9885148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Penguins34c499.92$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.958537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Rangers66c454.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.995648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Penguins34c420.73$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.6879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Penguins66c304.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1441757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00e1…4976backed Rangers66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5930…f3fdbacked Penguins37c301.25$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.254143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Penguins36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.784330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x605a…4576backed Penguins36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.78887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick50cpaid+86%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Penguins37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2722246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Rangers31c235.75$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.519553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed95…d87fbacked Penguins37c221.46$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.02450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa079…247abacked Penguins35c220$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1433100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+139.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56d9…81d1backed Rangers65c220$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1fb…5a80backed Penguins35c218.85$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Penguins17c205.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.841816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers64c204.94$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.161,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2274…4e7cbacked Rangers65c196.03$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb65d…9c29backed Penguins36c194.44$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.441154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5219…ac3abacked Rangers66c177.27$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…47f3backed Penguins36c176.39$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc93…4249backed Rangers66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008254.9%45 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21bd…ae93backed Rangers66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71ae…0a9cbacked Penguins35c145.54$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc35…4621backed Penguins35c144.31$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers35c142.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.353,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x952c…070dbacked Rangers65c140$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068e…5f44backed Penguins35c140$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x086b…5891backed Rangers66c139.39$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Penguins37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1428542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6425…b235backed Rangers65c134.55$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfe…25d3backed Penguins35c131.83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.69966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1095…0ca5backed Rangers65c130$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Rangers23c113.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0918237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Rangers65c109.91$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4424949.8%124 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Penguins37c109.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4624945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Rangers51c108$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.417054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Penguins34c104.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6560549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x383b…0cbbbacked Penguins34c102.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d5…c1fcbacked Rangers66c101.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.891154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Penguins23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7772448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb7b…79a9backed Rangers64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…9deabacked Penguins36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2851…ed75backed Rangers64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff6…bdafbacked Penguins36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2256backed Rangers64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Penguins34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6627643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f6…2e19backed Penguins36c99.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.991540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed37…5849backed Rangers66c90.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2d8…e461backed Penguins36c90.82$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.971070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x25de…a006backed Penguins36c90$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a7c…20ecbacked Penguins35c87.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+149.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Penguins33c83.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2472847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb1…cf90backed Rangers65c81.14$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07df…2506backed Rangers66c81.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.53933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3681…ec4bbacked Rangers66c81.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb92…a880backed Rangers65c76.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.751258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4aa…6c05backed Penguins35c76.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+38.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8c4…ae60backed Rangers67c75.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325d…515cbacked Penguins35c74.37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.34850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1154…33a8backed Rangers66c72.55$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa647…a47ebacked Rangers66c72.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.811127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-57.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c2f…b4d3backed Rangers66c72.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.69812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick52cpaid-81.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Penguins35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.436041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x080d…9874backed Rangers66c71.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa100…4e01backed Rangers66c70.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.36977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Penguins37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5745954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1a…4a50backed Penguins36c66.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.721250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2699…3409backed Penguins37c62.78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.551250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Penguins34c62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9248149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.