TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$557,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$523,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,748 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 634 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e80…59e8backed Spurs45c175,400$79,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,383.021050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers52c55,764$29,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,253.5277745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd6…9b1cbacked Pacers55c54,518$29,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,984.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers3c21,990$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.021,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers54c18,273$9,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,846.3865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9483…39b2backed Pacers51c17,914$9,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,223.986863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Spurs42c17,782$7,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,284.0811834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Spurs45c16,677$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,176.954254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pacers60c14,989$8,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,992.7347656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers39c12,518$4,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,838.153,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Spurs43c9,651$4,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,504.4376249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911b…4ed1backed Pacers1c7,552$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.57850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Pacers26c6,362$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.3313140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Pacers25c5,910$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.1831935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f80…4da7backed Pacers58c5,778$3,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,350.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Spurs43c5,523$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,148.299330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa150…1ddfbacked Pacers1c5,355$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.49333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Spurs44c5,105$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,858.6147542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Spurs42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.961,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Pacers17c4,895$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.3811164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Spurs43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28019152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7bcc…233ebacked Pacers3c3,953$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd83d…3c7abacked Pacers0c3,933$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.73616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb46…4ea7backed Pacers1c3,645$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Pacers57c3,310$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.097450%37 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32b…1e55backed Pacers50c3,021$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.551926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a5…f688backed Pacers58c2,926$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7700…7711backed Pacers2c2,722$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e0…2b21backed Spurs42c2,630$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d16…8284backed Pacers2c2,603$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf32…ff3abacked Pacers3c2,590$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9287…76aabacked Pacers3c2,585$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e5…d043backed Pacers3c2,570$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.021241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Pacers56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Spurs45c2,437$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.9472241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pacers55c2,230$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.520047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Pacers55c2,148$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.0414161%86 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pacers3c2,067$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.511,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs46c2,057$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.475,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Pacers34c2,051$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.115763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pacers1c2,012$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.747502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Pacers1c2,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pacers55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.991,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Spurs77c1,988$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.6319164.9%124 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Pacers54c1,835$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Spurs37c1,805$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.4421851.8%113 W · 105 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Pacers57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b6…d93bbacked Pacers57c1,752$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.611127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Spurs42c1,750$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.6161532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe842…8c5bbacked Pacers58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Pacers58c1,705$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.0727731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1090…d4fabacked Pacers3c1,693$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc4…63febacked Pacers56c1,607$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d21…d7cdbacked Spurs45c1,600$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pacers56c1,593$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.531,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb480…20c9backed Pacers7c1,559$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf80d…9705backed Pacers10c1,556$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.87580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c87…272abacked Pacers7c1,543$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.97580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Spurs43c1,533$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.3514438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Pacers53c1,492$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.111249.1%55 W · 57 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Spurs43c1,457$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.711654.3%63 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Pacers56c1,438$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.4319451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa66e…eecbbacked Pacers2c1,437$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pacers56c1,413$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.8673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pacers55c1,400$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.9936843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ef…2c77backed Pacers56c1,343$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.432352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Spurs44c1,339$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.123444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pacers59c1,320$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe059…9fa9backed Pacers2c1,298$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0840%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31b6…38d3backed Pacers2c1,243$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.22742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Pacers58c1,200$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.982420.8%5 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-45.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers58c1,200$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.9796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6150…13f7backed Spurs43c1,175$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.743240.6%13 W · 19 L-6.9wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-34.4%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8d32…2de7backed Pacers7c1,174$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.93580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+69.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Pacers23c1,092$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3e…c572backed Spurs47c1,048$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+61.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Spurs45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55024855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0e…113dbacked Pacers57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5704052.5%21 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Spurs45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Pacers59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59010244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa412…5230backed Pacers57c999.98$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.99825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Spurs54c923.88$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.8866153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Spurs53c863.35$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.438845.9%178 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Pacers56c840.02$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.4112657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Pacers56c837.9$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.6417047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee3…45c2backed Pacers57c828$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.43148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Pacers56c825.31$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.175151%26 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Pacers58c777.75$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.8730251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…2d23backed Spurs57c771.27$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.361050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x241e…dd4dbacked Pacers56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Spurs42c702.39$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.398434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers57c700.31$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.3188053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5110…4151backed Pacers59c677.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked Pacers32c669.94$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.529827.6%27 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pacers56c666.91$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.6547948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Pacers56c649.99$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.998547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Spurs45c643.51$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.4750245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Spurs45c618$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.2219556.9%111 W · 84 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers58c608.12$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.341,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Pacers57c608$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.5630440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.