NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x322986ffcef4d9a080f359486e2c5421afbb80c2fa5db7731021c91dc59f61b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Senators, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Senators | 41c | 9,336$3,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,856.82 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Senators | 1c | 2,068$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Senators | 46c | 1,287$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.5 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Senators | 54c | 929$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.66 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 37c | 869.95$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.24 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lightning | 63c | 801.64$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.12 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 41c | 686.15$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.44 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Senators | 38c | 584.21$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 61c | 574.84$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.19 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Lightning | 64c | 470.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.39 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 61c | 372.19$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Senators | 36c | 365.39$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Senators | 38c | 346.95$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 15c | 320$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…0661backed Lightning | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 61c | 292.14$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.93 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 62c | 282.56$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…cefebacked Senators | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -78%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Senators | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 62c | 217.25$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…a0bebacked Senators | 38c | 205$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Lightning | 55c | 199.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.85 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…8b1dbacked Lightning | 61c | 175$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Lightning | 60c | 152.85$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Lightning | 61c | 140$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Senators | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…5db7backed Senators | 39c | 138.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators | 38c | 129.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Senators | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Senators | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Senators | 39c | 108.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…f78dbacked Senators | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Senators | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Senators | 37c | 98.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Senators | 40c | 96.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Senators | 46c | 93.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x342f…e786backed Lightning | 63c | 84.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lightning | 62c | 83.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db4…f62abacked Lightning | 62c | 81.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…ef36backed Senators | 38c | 80.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Lightning | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Senators | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb174…d896backed Senators | 43c | 72.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Senators | 37c | 70.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Lightning | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…9ccfbacked Lightning | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…0d33backed Senators | 39c | 61.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…1a37backed Lightning | 62c | 59.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c8…ff97backed Senators | 39c | 55.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…2506backed Lightning | 63c | 53.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Lightning | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…2f22backed Lightning | 61c | 45.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Senators | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…460abacked Senators | 39c | 42.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5a…a3a4backed Senators | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…a855backed Lightning | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ea…2dd0backed Lightning | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…8801backed Senators | 40c | 39.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Senators | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…2c3cbacked Lightning | 62c | 35.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15b…a8c3backed Lightning | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad2…fa39backed Lightning | 62c | 34.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2781…5a72backed Senators | 39c | 33.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fee…aed2backed Lightning | 63c | 32.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…42aebacked Senators | 37c | 32.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…62f5backed Senators | 38c | 32.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…8a5bbacked Senators | 38c | 32.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ac…3043backed Lightning | 62c | 31.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…01c2backed Lightning | 62c | 30.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6a…4bc6backed Senators | 39c | 29.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…d56cbacked Senators | 38c | 29.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…d530backed Senators | 38c | 29.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9f…fe60backed Lightning | 62c | 29.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…1068backed Senators | 38c | 27.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…0dc6backed Senators | 39c | 26.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Lightning | 63c | 22.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc471…72a3backed Lightning | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f0…2699backed Lightning | 62c | 21.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b48…82dfbacked Lightning | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f41…46d4backed Lightning | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb577…236abacked Lightning | 62c | 20.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…f314backed Lightning | 62c | 19.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…2ff5backed Lightning | 62c | 18.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd7…6b6abacked Lightning | 62c | 18.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…4e62backed Lightning | 62c | 17.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…732abacked Lightning | 62c | 16.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…1d4dbacked Lightning | 62c | 16.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…eed2backed Lightning | 63c | 16.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…dd94backed Lightning | 62c | 16.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.