NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77899fb800eb0964f3d5ebfa1c7bc925c91b5aa3540512a5d9b581cc82a36f99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Capitals, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Capitals | 0c | 15,887$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 0c | 13,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Kings | 67c | 7,158$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.46 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 55c | 4,292$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.08 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kings | 55c | 3,796$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.49 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Capitals | 11c | 3,239$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 60c | 2,999$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.04 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Capitals | 44c | 2,198$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Capitals | 48c | 2,014$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.78 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Capitals | 39c | 1,952$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Capitals | 3c | 1,759$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Capitals | 30c | 1,665$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.46 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Capitals | 48c | 1,467$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 25c | 1,437$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.37 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d1…40fdbacked Capitals | 47c | 1,198$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda18…5f61backed Kings | 53c | 1,198$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Kings | 55c | 1,004$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Capitals | 45c | 999.96$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Capitals | 45c | 733.33$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Capitals | 31c | 645.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Capitals | 48c | 542.4$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Capitals | 45c | 499.93$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.97 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Capitals | 45c | 478.26$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.61 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 52c | 472.36$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.76 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 45c | 451.05$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.97 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Kings | 69c | 431.29$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.87 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 54c | 420.65$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Kings | 75c | 398.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Capitals | 6c | 393$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 71c | 382.34$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Capitals | 29c | 361.66$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals | 22c | 345.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Capitals | 49c | 332.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 36c | 281.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 66c | 278.93$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…7202backed Kings | 55c | 207.65$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Capitals | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.37per pick | 44cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Capitals | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb4…0215backed Kings | 55c | 168.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Kings | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Kings | 55c | 151$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 39c | 149.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…b583backed Capitals | 46c | 148.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…8156backed Kings | 54c | 147.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Capitals | 27c | 133.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Capitals | 25c | 132$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…01c6backed Capitals | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…b1fdbacked Capitals | 46c | 127.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5494…50f5backed Kings | 55c | 126.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…a210backed Capitals | 46c | 125.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…dd54backed Kings | 55c | 120.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…0f8cbacked Capitals | 46c | 114.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Capitals | 45c | 112.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Capitals | 27c | 112.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Capitals | 38c | 109.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19b…478dbacked Capitals | 48c | 104.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…2f00backed Capitals | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Capitals | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc9…2c38backed Capitals | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Capitals | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…466fbacked Capitals | 45c | 99.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec1d…c32abacked Capitals | 46c | 99.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…c15fbacked Kings | 55c | 97.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…bcc3backed Capitals | 46c | 97.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…311ebacked Kings | 55c | 96.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…11b6backed Kings | 55c | 94.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Kings | 65c | 91.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b96bbacked Capitals | 46c | 91.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Kings | 55c | 89.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea2…f05dbacked Capitals | 46c | 87.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…0fbebacked Kings | 55c | 83.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Kings | 56c | 83.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…a350backed Capitals | 46c | 82.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504e…9e5cbacked Kings | 55c | 80.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…81fcbacked Capitals | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1844…b1e3backed Kings | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…8e8abacked Kings | 72c | 74.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…6d9bbacked Kings | 55c | 71.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c8…19d4backed Capitals | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…c647backed Kings | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Kings | 58c | 67.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb0…823fbacked Capitals | 49c | 65.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…1cf1backed Kings | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0807…60f2backed Capitals | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc4…8c38backed Capitals | 41c | 62.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…1e0abacked Kings | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22d…1e04backed Capitals | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…9526backed Kings | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…b415backed Capitals | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Capitals | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Kings | 54c | 54.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 52c | 53.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…a5c7backed Capitals | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa71b…175cbacked Kings | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 47cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Capitals | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Capitals | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e93…da1cbacked Capitals | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…c3c8backed Capitals | 40c | 49.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Capitals | 27c | 49.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.