MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd6aea61f11ee46acb4a6ab7d2bb6c47a37c0467017b7f09a7e30bf0b2ed860b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Guardians, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66b7…5400backed Guardians | 54c | 27,740$14,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,979.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…e986backed Reds | 46c | 26,880$12,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,515.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Reds | 48c | 20,937$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,887.47 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Guardians | 52c | 11,702$6,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,085.19 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 52c | 11,395$5,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,925.21 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Reds | 48c | 10,160$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,285.09 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 54c | 4,728$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Guardians | 55c | 3,637$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Reds | 47c | 3,441$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.72 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Guardians | 37c | 3,350$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.42 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Guardians | 51c | 3,290$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.9 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Guardians | 51c | 3,163$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.21 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Reds | 54c | 2,594$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.77 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…3587backed Reds | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Reds | 64c | 2,212$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.41 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Reds | 50c | 2,158$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.53 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Guardians | 43c | 2,144$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.59 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Reds | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 52c | 2,034$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7457…3d0abacked Guardians | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Guardians | 38c | 1,944$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.83 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Guardians | 52c | 1,930$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.62 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Guardians | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 12c | 1,546$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.91 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Guardians | 52c | 1,454$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.52 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 67c | 1,448$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.93 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Reds | 46c | 1,429$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.1 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…bde0backed Reds | 49c | 1,428$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…900ebacked Guardians | 54c | 1,265$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Guardians | 22c | 1,264$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.84 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Reds | 48c | 1,243$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.49 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7727…366fbacked Guardians | 54c | 1,235$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Guardians | 18c | 1,153$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.03 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Guardians | 50c | 906.92$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.19 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 68c | 893.59$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f7…c2e2backed Reds | 46c | 860$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…5644backed Guardians | 54c | 629.11$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Guardians | 51c | 609.8$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Guardians | 54c | 601.67$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Guardians | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Guardians | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Guardians | 39c | 526.91$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.03 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Reds | 67c | 514.71$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.49 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Guardians | 51c | 484.35$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.02 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Guardians | 4c | 475$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Reds | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Guardians | 4c | 350.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 14c | 333.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Guardians | 54c | 276.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 53c | 275.4$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Guardians | 21c | 275.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…7771backed Guardians | 53c | 198.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…d9b3backed Reds | 48c | 197.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Guardians | 54c | 151.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Guardians | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Reds | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Reds | 50c | 139.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Guardians | 52c | 136.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Guardians | 15c | 135$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e4…e7efbacked Guardians | 22c | 128.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed Guardians | 20c | 125.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Guardians | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Reds | 60c | 113.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3569…008bbacked Guardians | 55c | 105.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Guardians | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Guardians | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Guardians | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Reds | 50c | 97.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Reds | 48c | 95.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Guardians | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Guardians | 53c | 88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f2…87c3backed Reds | 48c | 85.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 12c | 85.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Guardians | 54c | 85.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Guardians | 18c | 83.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Reds | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Reds | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Reds | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…eb41backed Reds | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…163abacked Reds | 47c | 61.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Reds | 76c | 56.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Guardians | 22c | 56.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…e85ebacked Guardians | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Guardians | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Reds | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 49c | 49.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…7637backed Reds | 48c | 48.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Guardians | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…8cbbbacked Guardians | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda9f…00bebacked Guardians | 53c | 45.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…a855backed Reds | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…f28abacked Guardians | 53c | 43.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…8556backed Reds | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa82…4864backed Reds | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Reds | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.