NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31ece282805c6332616a899e411ec4233a64f47f9e98a937a87b6d2266897a28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $769,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $770,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $769,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Bucks | 1c | 130,918$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.53 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Bucks | 15c | 38,987$5,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,858.21 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Bucks | 25c | 35,913$9,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,062.18 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 25c | 33,362$8,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,485.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Thunder | 68c | 28,722$19,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,294.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bucks | 15c | 24,383$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.89 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bucks | 1c | 24,176$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.29 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 66c | 22,101$14,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,514.21 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 0c | 17,433$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 34c | 15,000$5,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,091.55 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Bucks | 3c | 12,044$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.64 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Bucks | 34c | 10,827$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727.27 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Bucks | 27c | 10,361$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.56 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 34c | 8,100$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Thunder | 67c | 7,500$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.99 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bucks | 31c | 7,223$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.93 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Thunder | 70c | 5,543$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.01 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Thunder | 67c | 5,439$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.02 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Bucks | 31c | 5,272$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.66 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bucks | 17c | 5,043$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.37 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 64c | 5,038$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.78 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Bucks | 31c | 4,861$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Bucks | 10c | 4,185$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Bucks | 35c | 4,155$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.68 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Bucks | 35c | 4,068$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks | 16c | 4,000$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bucks | 38c | 3,763$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.69 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bucks | 34c | 3,721$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.36 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Bucks | 33c | 3,620$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.6 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Thunder | 65c | 3,536$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.75 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Thunder | 63c | 3,506$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.71 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 37c | 3,400$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.23 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks | 34c | 3,262$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.93 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Bucks | 34c | 3,220$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.8 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581e…4fd3backed Bucks | 8c | 3,151$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed Thunder | 74c | 3,138$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Thunder | 67c | 3,061$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.27 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Thunder | 67c | 2,835$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Bucks | 33c | 2,805$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.36 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 71c | 2,745$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.24 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Bucks | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Bucks | 32c | 2,330$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.85 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Thunder | 67c | 2,131$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.34 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Bucks | 10c | 2,080$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.4 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Bucks | 10c | 2,046$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.9 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks | 33c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…fe48backed Bucks | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Bucks | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 63c | 2,000$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.38 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Bucks | 33c | 1,999$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.67 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bucks | 1c | 1,950$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Bucks | 18c | 1,886$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.9 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 60c | 1,883$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.93 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 64c | 1,807$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.61 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Bucks | 29c | 1,777$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.2 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Bucks | 36c | 1,734$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.19 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Bucks | 36c | 1,673$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.29 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Bucks | 30c | 1,643$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Bucks | 34c | 1,635$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.88 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 60c | 1,634$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.65 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Bucks | 16c | 1,600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…d5bebacked Thunder | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…62f0backed Bucks | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Thunder | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…76e3backed Bucks | 2c | 1,471$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Bucks | 33c | 1,459$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.74 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 67c | 1,434$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.32 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Thunder | 66c | 1,430$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.2 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks | 36c | 1,312$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.62 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Thunder | 67c | 1,300$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.2 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Thunder | 65c | 1,300$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Bucks | 29c | 1,270$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.4 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Bucks | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bucks | 36c | 1,218$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.14 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Bucks | 39c | 1,203$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.14 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Bucks | 13c | 1,149$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.89 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Bucks | 33c | 1,120$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.44 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…f019backed Thunder | 66c | 1,109$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.35 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Thunder | 68c | 1,104$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.4 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…a098backed Thunder | 70c | 1,095$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.47 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Thunder | 67c | 1,066$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.79 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Thunder | 66c | 1,016$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Bucks | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Thunder | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Bucks | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Thunder | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Bucks | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Bucks | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Thunder | 68c | 939.74$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.12 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Thunder | 78c | 926.59$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.06 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 76c | 925.09$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.27 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Thunder | 63c | 899.95$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.73 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Bucks | 14c | 893.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…fa70backed Bucks | 36c | 862.36$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.45 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Bucks | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…3ad5backed Bucks | 34c | 788.49$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.59 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Thunder | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Bucks | 35c | 762.4$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.84 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be2…4664backed Thunder | 74c | 758.81$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Thunder | 67c | 748.22$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.