TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Suns, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$524,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$585,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $524,818 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe1f4…d0e7backed Lakers55c75,301$41,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,885.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe918…8009backed Suns45c68,590$30,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,865.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Lakers73c53,181$39,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,127.717149.3%35 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Suns14c49,912$7,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,060.9433931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns34c20,412$7,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,018.493,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Suns13c14,819$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.7134532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa47a…fd11backed Lakers79c12,623$9,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.95261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Suns43c11,057$4,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,734.171947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Suns19c10,881$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.3749849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb806…12abbacked Suns38c10,420$3,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,980.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Suns9c10,099$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.9110926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Suns20c9,670$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.2430443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Suns43c7,228$3,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,107.924050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Suns44c7,101$3,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,129.2425865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Suns12c7,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840646.3%4 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers58c7,000$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.991,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x259d…94ebbacked Suns45c6,700$3,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,01510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Lakers80c6,479$5,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.711457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Lakers56c6,045$3,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.378536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c70…232abacked Lakers59c5,046$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.945337.7%20 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Suns31c4,414$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.694628.3%13 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Suns46c4,132$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90024151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Suns24c4,101$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.626431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Suns7c3,750$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce29…b71bbacked Lakers62c3,471$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.031361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…9f20backed Lakers59c3,353$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.63785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Suns46c3,250$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.1420238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Suns44c3,020$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.996346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x644c…8f6bbacked Suns18c2,900$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.195145.1%23 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers57c2,824$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.761,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Suns6c2,755$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.898783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Lakers60c2,745$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.1828347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Suns24c2,667$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.5470640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Suns42c2,497$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.9213929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Lakers58c2,450$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.6145743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Suns41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41f…e827backed Lakers64c2,435$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Suns42c2,374$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Suns22c2,265$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.4314034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80a5…f9babacked Suns4c2,231$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lakers57c2,132$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.4536748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Lakers57c2,002$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.86785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+75.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Suns37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74015613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Lakers58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84015638.5%60 W · 96 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Suns36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7204641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e9…0501backed Suns43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Suns44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.994040%16 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf585…f019backed Suns22c1,961$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Lakers61c1,815$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.2525536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Lakers59c1,782$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.6429747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Suns23c1,739$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Suns1c1,697$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.015502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Lakers59c1,696$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.182133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Suns46c1,645$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.952748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Lakers65c1,587$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.3938143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Suns41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61530251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns32c1,500$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.211,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Suns43c1,442$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9733752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Lakers71c1,332$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.2810244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Suns1c1,237$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8737627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Suns2c1,200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Suns37c1,200$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44851037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Suns42c1,191$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007851.3%40 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33cd…2449backed Suns42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Lakers61c1,173$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.5726640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Suns44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Suns9c1,100$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0878445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Suns41c1,062$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.4188053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Suns41c1,059$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.3215551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Lakers58c1,037$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.571,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Suns13c1,021$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5147229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbb5…510dbacked Suns20c1,010$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.046651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Suns42c1,000$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.531,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Lakers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46022832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Lakers58c999.95$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.3173051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Lakers57c999.94$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9832130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Lakers57c960$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Suns45c950.14$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.4611654.3%63 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Suns2c904.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.831,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Suns44c902.62$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.5210246.1%47 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Lakers56c885.78$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.7812752.8%67 W · 60 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Lakers55c870.02$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.0220153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Lakers67c862.72$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.855,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Lakers59c837$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.4477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Suns42c823.43$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.241,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Lakers58c814.29$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3425151%26 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Suns37c781.95$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.327735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Lakers59c720.34$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.3423554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Lakers59c693.82$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8229643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Lakers55c693$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.4273647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Lakers59c608.81$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8134524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Lakers60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24015365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Lakers61c599.83$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8736434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa692…c018backed Suns29c595.42$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701540%6 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+55.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Lakers59c595$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.858153.1%43 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Suns19c584.75$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11438027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Lakers57c568.81$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.5418354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Lakers55c545.43$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1761345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Lakers57c541.59$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.0337734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39ec…f9f6backed Lakers80c541.55$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.361376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick76cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.