MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a7b90a7d2152ff78c6d4f265c3481f86fe22a66f7666fce2ab140cadfb7bd6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Nationals | 58c | 21,611$12,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,523.67 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Nationals | 60c | 18,343$10,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,984.92 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 41c | 17,821$7,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,587.61 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals | 42c | 8,283$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,826.83 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cardinals | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 22c | 6,294$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.72 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Cardinals | 41c | 4,317$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cardinals | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.09 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Nationals | 39c | 3,132$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.36 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cardinals | 60c | 3,120$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.89 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 58c | 2,647$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.29 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Nationals | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.99 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Nationals | 56c | 2,281$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nationals | 47c | 2,030$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 43c | 2,025$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.35 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nationals | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…9619backed Cardinals | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 58c | 1,284$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.77 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nationals | 59c | 1,264$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.8 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cardinals | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.2 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Cardinals | 60c | 988.29$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.66 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 952.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.2 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 44c | 899.26$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.59 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cardinals | 43c | 886.95$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cardinals | 63c | 881.85$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.85 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 31c | 774.85$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.11 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Cardinals | 43c | 593.75$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.96 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nationals | 37c | 493.54$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.61 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Cardinals | 42c | 439.27$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.78 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Cardinals | 63c | 331.95$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…cdc2backed Nationals | 56c | 326.89$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Nationals | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Cardinals | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Cardinals | 51c | 263$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecea…2399backed Cardinals | 67c | 230.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 44c | 228$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Cardinals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Cardinals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Nationals | 41c | 213.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Cardinals | 44c | 175.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Cardinals | 47c | 161.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16c…2a0ebacked Nationals | 57c | 157$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…03b8backed Nationals | 57c | 151$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Nationals | 48c | 137.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Cardinals | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Nationals | 24c | 124.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebeb…74d4backed Cardinals | 44c | 124$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Nationals | 57c | 121$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4a1cbacked Nationals | 50c | 121$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…395abacked Nationals | 50c | 120.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…814abacked Cardinals | 65c | 116.46$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Cardinals | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cardinals | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13a…dbdfbacked Nationals | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nationals | 58c | 108.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…8444backed Nationals | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8c…4e7abacked Cardinals | 44c | 102$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Cardinals | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaa…7948backed Cardinals | 44c | 87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…83c8backed Cardinals | 44c | 84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…b3aebacked Nationals | 59c | 61.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2973…3547backed Cardinals | 44c | 61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 45cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…c4bdbacked Cardinals | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…24e8backed Cardinals | 44c | 59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62fd…42a3backed Nationals | 57c | 57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Nationals | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…8935backed Cardinals | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Cardinals | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cardinals | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd3…7945backed Nationals | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…a91ebacked Cardinals | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Nationals | 57c | 43.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cardinals | 43c | 42.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…f046backed Cardinals | 69c | 42.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Cardinals | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 67c | 38.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Nationals | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 45c | 33.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…ab4abacked Cardinals | 41c | 33.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab9…fc47backed Nationals | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…a855backed Nationals | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Cardinals | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Cardinals | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Cardinals | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a8…fb9dbacked Nationals | 42c | 28.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Nationals | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Cardinals | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…7adabacked Cardinals | 44c | 23.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Cardinals | 55c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Cardinals | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 69c | 17.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…5468backed Cardinals | 63c | 16.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Cardinals | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.