TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Mavericks, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$436,261
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$443,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,261 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 727 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4cc3…7552backed Pistons42c25,327$10,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,761.8919152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Pistons73c19,013$13,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,066.9711164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks47c10,829$5,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,070.543,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons53c10,315$5,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,859.811,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6660…647cbacked Mavericks51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,100425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Mavericks33c9,631$3,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,186.6647656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dbc…07dbbacked Pistons49c8,900$4,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,538.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Pistons51c8,614$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,188.5112663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Pistons50c8,135$4,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,067.6811834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Mavericks44c7,897$3,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,446.759849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Pistons66c7,095$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.769572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Mavericks42c6,954$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.0134532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Mavericks10c5,539$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.4734425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Mavericks47c5,125$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.5827840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Pistons48c5,000$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.991978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Mavericks53c4,595$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.4215763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Mavericks51c4,227$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.6261851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Mavericks52c4,027$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.3347542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Mavericks52c3,790$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons58c3,564$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.9365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbaa…8f36backed Pistons51c3,529$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.41540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons48c3,452$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.2549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks45c3,441$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.81,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks42c3,409$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.985,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d79…4725backed Mavericks34c3,219$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.431421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pistons52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.991,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee2…46e1backed Mavericks34c2,954$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.872528%7 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed Mavericks26c2,791$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.7611250.9%57 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Pistons69c2,735$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.735561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Mavericks49c2,693$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.6924855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks2c2,533$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.051,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Pistons49c2,464$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.455151%26 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Mavericks51c2,295$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.9288053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Pistons51c2,245$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.647848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Mavericks51c2,133$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08810533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Pistons49c2,106$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.956750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Mavericks47c2,071$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97917044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Mavericks38c2,050$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.7114034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x897b…cb5cbacked Pistons49c2,023$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Mavericks52c2,017$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05010541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x920a…77e0backed Mavericks50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x450f…d078backed Mavericks51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2873…fc1cbacked Pistons48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Pistons51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7911355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea8c…ef09backed Mavericks51c1,862$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e0a…cadfbacked Pistons49c1,860$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Mavericks52c1,729$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.484641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Mavericks1c1,588$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.835502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Mavericks52c1,538$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.654854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dff…f3aebacked Mavericks50c1,530$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7651241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Pistons42c1,500$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8769534.7%33 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Pistons50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Pistons56c1,438$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.4530061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67dc…75ffbacked Mavericks49c1,425$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8076…85f9backed Mavericks24c1,400$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33616125.5%41 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4981…5176backed Mavericks52c1,359$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.731643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f5d…67a4backed Pistons49c1,355$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.11457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x829a…4cd5backed Pistons49c1,354$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.541752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c1…5a05backed Mavericks52c1,317$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.752544%11 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Pistons48c1,300$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67646131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Pistons46c1,267$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.7315341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97b…d794backed Pistons51c1,244$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Mavericks51c1,234$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.3136843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Mavericks32c1,227$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.5970640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x744b…6132backed Mavericks49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Pistons49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61251037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mavericks50c1,188$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.661,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3656…d458backed Pistons49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5613100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+92.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb68…06b9backed Mavericks39c1,059$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.24337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69a7…ef6bbacked Pistons48c1,039$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.382152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Pistons48c1,028$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.5430440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfc4…3b10backed Pistons51c1,007$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Mavericks20c1,000$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20453134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed Mavericks51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mavericks52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505c…a066backed Mavericks51c999.93$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.971533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c87…5eb4backed Mavericks52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Pistons60c914.46$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.4345135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons49c872.51$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.9877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3812…e2ebbacked Mavericks52c867.81$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd098…6b56backed Mavericks49c821.54$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Pistons40c807.78$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.6727631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks48c782.59$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.196447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Mavericks52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40066153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Mavericks53c750$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.56045%27 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b2b…dbf4backed Pistons76c745.92$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.42771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Pistons48c735.35$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.3815741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mavericks22c727.27$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks9c663.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.761,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons53c637.34$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.681,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21bd…ae93backed Pistons79c623.79$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3711259.8%67 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Pistons48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31235046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pistons47c595.95$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.0761345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Mavericks52c585.86$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.47450%37 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d45…87cfbacked Mavericks67c582.67$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x046a…39a5backed Mavericks52c547.53$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2861414.3%2 W · 12 L-5.3wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-74.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Mavericks36c546$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8123956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Mavericks19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011939.5%47 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Pistons73c522$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2817363.6%110 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons50c514.41$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.221,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.