Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93c7d74b92726953f3d60f9815c68548684de492f4f467453150b10f23a8ff6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8663…6358backed Yes | 14c | 9,990$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…7bc6backed Yes | 14c | 9,990$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 14c | 2,334$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.11 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 11c | 2,149$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 10c | 1,886$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.13 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 13c | 1,645$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.47 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 16c | 1,425$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 13c | 843.16$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 14c | 701.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 14c | 693.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Yes | 14c | 599.93$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 10c | 427.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes | 13c | 313$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…8f7bbacked Yes | 15c | 267.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 11c | 256.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…77b0backed Yes | 13c | 153.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…9362backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…cc7bbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…31c2backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…82d6backed Yes | 15c | 99.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…ffdfbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 23c | 43.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool vs. Tottenham end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-27?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.