Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f2571aad8904738ec1b124f54259a305b174948ad6db3267d8a9f2206ba45a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf49…eba4backed Yes | 9c | 117,000$10,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 8c | 6,069$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.26 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 9c | 5,050$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 8c | 4,422$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.45 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 8c | 2,099$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 8c | 2,066$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.29 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 16c | 1,465$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.4 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Yes | 10c | 976.4$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 7c | 847.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 7c | 733$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 8c | 630.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…88a6backed Yes | 6c | 508.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Yes | 8c | 490$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Yes | 13c | 450$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 9c | 389.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Yes | 14c | 302$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…a7d2backed Yes | 8c | 275$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 22c | 233.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…993fbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…5e38backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 9c | 183.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes | 9c | 173.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…04d5backed Yes | 9c | 156.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21a…a6a5backed Yes | 9c | 123.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes | 16c | 100.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…1d0bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 80c | 71.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…cd85backed Yes | 18c | 66.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-27?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Tottenham end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.