MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8359532430c2ad14458e6a7c0cfb588748ae38c4adbaebb09ed58305eff345f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Soxof Royals, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked White Sox | 41c | 15,000$6,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,886.48 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b80…ad84backed White Sox | 39c | 9,998$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,098.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c32…99c0backed Royals | 61c | 9,998$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,098.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 41c | 7,241$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,301.18 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Royals | 0c | 5,150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Royals | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.93 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 60c | 4,919$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.8 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Royals | 33c | 4,067$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 59c | 3,778$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.84 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 48c | 3,584$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Royals | 56c | 2,649$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.44 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Royals | 1c | 2,502$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Royals | 56c | 2,238$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.11 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 43c | 2,174$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.98 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked White Sox | 43c | 1,921$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.65 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Royals | 60c | 1,853$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.01 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Royals | 53c | 1,820$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.66 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Royals | 48c | 1,819$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.55 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Royals | 56c | 1,804$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Royals | 1c | 1,750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed White Sox | 51c | 1,433$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.92 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Royals | 53c | 1,396$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.32 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 44c | 1,343$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.84 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Royals | 1c | 1,330$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Royals | 63c | 1,278$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.25 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 56c | 1,200$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed White Sox | 42c | 1,190$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.3 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Royals | 55c | 1,092$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.74 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 45c | 1,076$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.44 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked White Sox | 40c | 1,056$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 44c | 999.89$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.94 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked White Sox | 54c | 976$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.44 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Royals | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Royals | 60c | 851$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.6 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed White Sox | 42c | 829.05$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.85 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Royals | 65c | 826.42$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed White Sox | 38c | 757.66$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.21 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed White Sox | 52c | 673.81$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.18 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Royals | 68c | 648.44$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.94 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Royals | 58c | 609$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.77 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Royals | 37c | 590.01$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Royals | 52c | 581.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Royals | 30c | 553.45$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.67 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Royals | 6c | 516.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…f8e7backed Royals | 46c | 465.07$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.93 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed White Sox | 45c | 460$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Royals | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked White Sox | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Royals | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…9787backed White Sox | 53c | 395$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.62 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Royals | 54c | 394.88$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Royals | 56c | 354.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Royals | 47c | 344.68$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Royals | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a36…cc01backed Royals | 53c | 281.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9415…cb92backed Royals | 46c | 191.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed White Sox | 75c | 183.32$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed White Sox | 40c | 176.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Royals | 57c | 175.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf183…93e9backed White Sox | 43c | 170.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Royals | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 38c | 153.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Royals | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 58c | 147.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed White Sox | 43c | 139.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Royals | 59c | 137.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6165backed Royals | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a5…63a5backed White Sox | 43c | 117.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked White Sox | 43c | 116.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…2e3abacked White Sox | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…f0adbacked Royals | 58c | 114.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed White Sox | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…9544backed White Sox | 43c | 110.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…586bbacked White Sox | 43c | 105.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Royals | 62c | 103.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Royals | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Royals | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Royals | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…e6bdbacked White Sox | 43c | 94.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Royals | 56c | 94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6c…cee2backed Royals | 58c | 93.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked White Sox | 50c | 93.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…6576backed Royals | 58c | 91.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4aa…6c05backed Royals | 58c | 91.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed White Sox | 42c | 90.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a17…0301backed Royals | 58c | 90.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals | 58c | 88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…df01backed Royals | 58c | 87.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Royals | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…c4fbbacked Royals | 58c | 85.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…1cadbacked White Sox | 43c | 82.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Royals | 56c | 82.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9e…8393backed White Sox | 43c | 82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ef…be38backed Royals | 58c | 80.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Royals | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.