Grand Canyon vs. Maryland

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5aa6762def3856d8663bcffcf1476aed5ac35b1e5365e1a16ddb1e8c32af01d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Marylandof Grand Canyon, Maryland
Resolved: Mar 21, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $222,434
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $222,721

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,434 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfd5e…045cbacked Grand Canyon	17c	130,000$22,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Maryland	80c	40,441$32,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,148.3	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-13.1wins	-0.17per pick	29cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Grand Canyon	16c	22,890$3,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,565.08	103	35.9%37 W · 66 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Grand Canyon	23c	8,087$1,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,857.76	188	50%94 W · 94 L	+11.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Grand Canyon	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	82	2.4%2 W · 80 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Grand Canyon	13c	4,277$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.97	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	23cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Grand Canyon	18c	4,250$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-5.6wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a34…5636backed Grand Canyon	26c	4,011$1,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,042.76	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Grand Canyon	25c	4,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	391	44.5%174 W · 217 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49bd…372abacked Grand Canyon	17c	3,800$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Grand Canyon	5c	3,591$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.34	140	21.4%30 W · 110 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9f…005dbacked Grand Canyon	24c	1,527$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Maryland	80c	1,458$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.63	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Grand Canyon	6c	1,294$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.89	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Grand Canyon	4c	1,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x810f…2079backed Maryland	73c	857.47$626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.52	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Grand Canyon	18c	850.56$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	26	76.9%20 W · 6 L	+5.2wins	+0.20per pick	57cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Grand Canyon	18c	800$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	429	48.5%208 W · 221 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Maryland	77c	779.5$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.03	50	54%27 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x755c…7741backed Grand Canyon	16c	613.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.15	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Maryland	76c	603.95$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.95	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Grand Canyon	17c	603.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.16	81	51.9%42 W · 39 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Grand Canyon	17c	588.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.13	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Grand Canyon	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Grand Canyon	2c	532.9$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a6…c13fbacked Grand Canyon	27c	517$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcddf…5967backed Grand Canyon	7c	342.71$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.72	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Grand Canyon	18c	307.45$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	192	38.5%74 W · 118 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Grand Canyon	17c	299.96$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.99	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef9…35cfbacked Maryland	75c	265$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.25	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-4.4wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Grand Canyon	27c	262.69$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.93	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f0…97bbbacked Grand Canyon	8c	237.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-77%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Grand Canyon	15c	228.24$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.24	1,391	44.1%613 W · 778 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Grand Canyon	18c	222.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd37b…3802backed Grand Canyon	18c	222.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Grand Canyon	16c	200$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	62cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dc3…14dbbacked Grand Canyon	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Grand Canyon	16c	171.73$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.85	98	33.7%33 W · 65 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb080…2f8abacked Grand Canyon	18c	150$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Grand Canyon	18c	120$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	87	37.9%33 W · 54 L	-12.1wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Grand Canyon	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-8.7wins	-0.22per pick	45cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x439d…3e06backed Grand Canyon	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe1…7d0dbacked Grand Canyon	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-40%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe87f…9d9bbacked Grand Canyon	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Maryland	75c	106.51$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.63	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Grand Canyon	27c	101$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	247	59.5%147 W · 100 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Grand Canyon	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2,254	42.2%951 W · 1,303 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Grand Canyon	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	301	39.2%118 W · 183 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d37…a5f0backed Grand Canyon	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed5…cc7bbacked Grand Canyon	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Grand Canyon	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	820	48.2%395 W · 425 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Grand Canyon	17c	68.24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Grand Canyon vs. Maryland

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market