NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9b5ea78c34870bd2c8464a32260fbd309cdc9c3c4b0a6b66bb004417d44f314
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b30…8c55backed Hurricanes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Hurricanes | 51c | 7,025$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.88 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 4,722$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.74 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 72c | 3,047$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.03 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,344$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.38 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hurricanes | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hurricanes | 62c | 1,804$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.68 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b4…af9abacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,467$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…651fbacked Hurricanes | 66c | 1,465$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,241$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.94 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 1,174$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.76 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5295…d666backed Hurricanes | 21c | 949.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Hurricanes | 46c | 926.37$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 923$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.72 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Hurricanes | 63c | 844.22$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.86 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hurricanes | 63c | 820.81$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.11 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Hurricanes | 66c | 803.48$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.3 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 779$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.98 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Hurricanes | 15c | 750.77$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 673.67$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.62 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 643.13$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.17 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Maple Leafs | 73c | 640.94$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.05 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 580.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.26 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6186…2b98backed Hurricanes | 66c | 510$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…1ea7backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 510$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Hurricanes | 16c | 387.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 369$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.85 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…3466backed Hurricanes | 66c | 331.34$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 317$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.58 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 222.15$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.7 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hurricanes | 60c | 222$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x665f…9a23backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 216.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.81 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Maple Leafs | 78c | 210$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…0ce8backed Hurricanes | 23c | 201.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 159.17$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hurricanes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Hurricanes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…c759backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 152.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Hurricanes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc4…6d27backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 150.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Hurricanes | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…4f47backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…d038backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 126.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 124$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…504ebacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 123.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…c043backed Hurricanes | 63c | 117$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fa…f7a6backed Hurricanes | 63c | 113.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…3f9dbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 105$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 104$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…fcc2backed Hurricanes | 66c | 101.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hurricanes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Hurricanes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Hurricanes | 63c | 99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…d545backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 96.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…ad39backed Hurricanes | 66c | 93.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae8…347ebacked Hurricanes | 66c | 90.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…726abacked Hurricanes | 66c | 87.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…0a2dbacked Hurricanes | 66c | 86.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…2c06backed Hurricanes | 63c | 82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hurricanes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Hurricanes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Hurricanes | 65c | 76.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…92d6backed Hurricanes | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0545…02a0backed Hurricanes | 66c | 75.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…ed4abacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 75.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…dbddbacked Hurricanes | 61c | 70.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ea…d560backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 70.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…b69abacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 69.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…80a4backed Hurricanes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…1a55backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 60.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4000…621abacked Hurricanes | 63c | 57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…a70ebacked Hurricanes | 66c | 52.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…b66ebacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…8fd1backed Hurricanes | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…d370backed Hurricanes | 66c | 51.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…cc7bbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…e44abacked Hurricanes | 63c | 50.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…4130backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Hurricanes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e5…be51backed Hurricanes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Hurricanes | 67c | 46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 45.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Hurricanes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…1d14backed Hurricanes | 66c | 44.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…3172backed Hurricanes | 66c | 43.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc739…c3fcbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 43.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…cfa1backed Hurricanes | 66c | 43.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…c9f3backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 43.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…e983backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 41.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x612d…e0e1backed Hurricanes | 66c | 41.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Hurricanes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Hurricanes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…5124backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.