NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb094e6cb25a9930f99d96ed3c240410c134af8bd4019a38340d66777b8fffcc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Ducks, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Ducks | 24c | 22,735$5,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,412.99 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Ducks | 24c | 20,157$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Stars | 76c | 19,000$14,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,610 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Stars | 76c | 11,823$8,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.88 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9467…fc3ebacked Ducks | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…4c3cbacked Stars | 76c | 9,972$7,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…332cbacked Ducks | 24c | 9,972$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec7…4723backed Stars | 76c | 9,961$7,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 24c | 9,073$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.44 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Stars | 76c | 8,600$6,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Stars | 79c | 7,006$5,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.37 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Ducks | 24c | 3,755$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.73 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 64c | 3,111$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.49 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Ducks | 24c | 3,029$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.84 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Stars | 76c | 2,800$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Ducks | 39c | 2,285$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Ducks | 23c | 1,748$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.01 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Stars | 26c | 1,660$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars | 78c | 1,537$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.12 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Stars | 62c | 1,450$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.29 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…63c0backed Stars | 76c | 1,427$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…d55dbacked Ducks | 24c | 1,425$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Stars | 76c | 1,331$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.44 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Ducks | 48c | 1,280$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.61 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Stars | 74c | 1,229$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.67 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Ducks | 24c | 1,074$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Ducks | 39c | 1,036$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stars | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Ducks | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks | 33c | 909.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Stars | 45c | 706.17$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.86 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Stars | 42c | 696.7$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.08 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars | 75c | 639.48$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Stars | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…e0a1backed Stars | 75c | 616.67$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Stars | 40c | 555$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Ducks | 39c | 535.86$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.91 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Stars | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…903cbacked Stars | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Stars | 76c | 499.97$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…c858backed Stars | 78c | 488.76$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks | 23c | 472.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Ducks | 58c | 402.72$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Stars | 43c | 363.95$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.95 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Stars | 76c | 361.59$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…b489backed Ducks | 26c | 340.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…4e59backed Ducks | 24c | 319.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Stars | 77c | 306.34$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Stars | 66c | 301.53$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 50c | 299.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.22 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Ducks | 58c | 278.03$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.39 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…34e6backed Stars | 76c | 270$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Stars | 75c | 265$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Stars | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Stars | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Stars | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…e009backed Stars | 43c | 251.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Stars | 76c | 248.03$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…3b5fbacked Ducks | 24c | 242.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 75c | 234.13$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Stars | 76c | 213.16$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 27c | 211.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Stars | 46c | 205.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…72e1backed Ducks | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Stars | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Stars | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Ducks | 58c | 190.95$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…d00bbacked Stars | 77c | 188.43$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Stars | 77c | 188.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d0…7255backed Ducks | 25c | 181.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…e8b4backed Stars | 77c | 175.79$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…fc79backed Stars | 77c | 159.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Stars | 76c | 159.21$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…56f4backed Stars | 77c | 156.68$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…d471backed Ducks | 24c | 155.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed Stars | 76c | 135$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b1…3738backed Ducks | 25c | 133.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa86…147ebacked Ducks | 25c | 132.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…bde1backed Stars | 76c | 131.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…73cdbacked Stars | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…bc71backed Stars | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Stars | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Ducks | 23c | 119.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x706d…0f3cbacked Stars | 77c | 119.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 57c | 117.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…e263backed Stars | 77c | 116.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…be67backed Stars | 77c | 113.21$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Stars | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97e…a81ebacked Stars | 77c | 109.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…eb0abacked Ducks | 24c | 105.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Stars | 77c | 102.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Stars | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a8f9backed Stars | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Stars | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…9568backed Ducks | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Ducks | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Stars | 56c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.