MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaf6314ce8067cacccd0f0b2f563eb45f0b1f5366c3f202d83555acefd46cd91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 47c | 116,598$54,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,796.85 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,999.99 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 80,609$42,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,092.11 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 61,485$28,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,201.91 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 47c | 42,553$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,553.19 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 50c | 14,874$7,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,437.01 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 9,497$4,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,932.3 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.12 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 6,115$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.81 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 3,899$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.86 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 3,456$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.44 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 53c | 3,319$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.07 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 2,865$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.63 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 2,598$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…b0f2backed Over | 47c | 2,497$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 2,377$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 47c | 2,340$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.43 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 53c | 2,193$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.06 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 1,747$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.75 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 52c | 1,696$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.93 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,417$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,320$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.56 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 1,272$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.82 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 50c | 1,228$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.04 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 47c | 1,076$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.87 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,056$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.71 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 1,009$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.47 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 784$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.52 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 47c | 725.53$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.41 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 51c | 687$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.63 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Over | 28c | 685.18$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.29 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 624.21$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.83 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 595.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.74 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 47c | 524.82$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.15 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 51c | 506.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.58 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 50c | 380.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.38 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 360$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 54c | 345.09$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.74 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…5d2abacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 300$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 53c | 287.48$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…f1dfbacked Under | 51c | 270.02$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…c7d5backed Over | 50c | 270$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 43c | 238.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 47c | 238$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 69c | 201.89$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…6452backed Over | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 48c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 41c | 199.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…654fbacked Under | 52c | 197$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…7ca9backed Over | 49c | 197$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Over | 51c | 196.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…aa74backed Under | 52c | 194$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…8288backed Over | 49c | 194$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…1dafbacked Over | 49c | 190$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba5…6ff7backed Under | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…9db1backed Under | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…1996backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd935…6029backed Over | 49c | 189.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…7d44backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 164.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Over | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Over | 54c | 151.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Over | 51c | 143.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…160bbacked Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bd…0e7fbacked Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Over | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Under | 77c | 129.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Over | 51c | 109.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…dc88backed Over | 53c | 109$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Over | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Under | 48c | 103.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 46c | 99.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Over | 51c | 96.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…1309backed Over | 54c | 96.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 48c | 95.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…e677backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.