TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cleveland Guardiansof New York Yankees, Cleveland Guardians
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,991
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,991 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaca0…9b86backed New York Yankees43c7,954$3,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,430.927934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees8c7,283$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.654,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked New York Yankees44c6,889$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00024344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Cleveland Guardians57c4,756$2,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.4524150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Cleveland Guardians75c4,030$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.5521242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians57c3,765$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.952,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cleveland Guardians56c1,802$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.944749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians57c1,574$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.786548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians57c1,471$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.5392054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees36c1,377$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.8812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Cleveland Guardians56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked New York Yankees31c857.97$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9791252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians73c794.52$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.5298149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians73c780.73$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.84,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees27c777.59$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.488,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Cleveland Guardians56c730.83$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.5756851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees44c666.9$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.44,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Cleveland Guardians57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2582445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cleveland Guardians57c520.79$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.942,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Cleveland Guardians57c444.21$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.0137052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Cleveland Guardians57c420$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.689053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Cleveland Guardians74c405.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.42,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed New York Yankees43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17232850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Yankees26c395$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.73,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Cleveland Guardians57c359$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.341,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked New York Yankees43c322.06$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6719335.8%69 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians56c293.32$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.063,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x521e…8aa2backed Cleveland Guardians58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.621361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians56c247.25$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.796,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed New York Yankees42c236.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011138.7%43 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians77c216.77$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.638,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed New York Yankees36c202.7$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737321.9%16 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians70c195.92$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.936,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Cleveland Guardians57c190.31$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.662,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bd…68c4backed Cleveland Guardians58c132.56$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…3492backed New York Yankees43c130.44$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed New York Yankees29c130$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.71450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31de…9572backed New York Yankees43c128.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a30…0061backed Cleveland Guardians58c125.54$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Cleveland Guardians57c124.96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.731,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86f…aa59backed Cleveland Guardians58c118.95$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…98bbbacked New York Yankees43c115.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked New York Yankees42c113.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8729354.9%161 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked New York Yankees44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb69b…9ce7backed New York Yankees28c112.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.519145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Cleveland Guardians73c107.22$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.952,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc7…404bbacked New York Yankees43c105.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe620…418bbacked Cleveland Guardians58c102.37$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians76c93.4$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.668,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x012f…6d43backed New York Yankees24c85.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.466946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed New York Yankees44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.246854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.272154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed New York Yankees42c75.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9136250.3%182 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked New York Yankees44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12de…bb0fbacked New York Yankees44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307045.7%32 W · 38 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed New York Yankees44c62.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2659749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Cleveland Guardians57c61.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3943560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Yankees39c53.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.131,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees36c51.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.676,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x392a…da0cbacked Cleveland Guardians58c51.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.516657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Cleveland Guardians57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.522554.7%123 W · 102 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Yankees46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2db…242bbacked Cleveland Guardians58c49.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.791560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked New York Yankees34c47.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1645952.9%243 W · 216 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc766…1533backed New York Yankees44c45.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205646.4%26 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Cleveland Guardians74c44.95$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.731,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe00a…330ebacked Cleveland Guardians58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.16949.3%34 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Cleveland Guardians58c42.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8721852.8%115 W · 103 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c49…c6c2backed Cleveland Guardians71c41.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.051181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+58.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Cleveland Guardians58c37.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.933,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Cleveland Guardians58c37.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8844347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed New York Yankees46c36.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.769346.2%43 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Cleveland Guardians57c29.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8129255.8%163 W · 129 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Cleveland Guardians57c24.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.321,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed New York Yankees42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0878155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Cleveland Guardians57c22.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6834846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Cleveland Guardians77c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.061,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Cleveland Guardians57c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9842550.1%213 W · 212 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked Cleveland Guardians59c20.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2310850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.