TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,902 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe30e…6b87backed Over54c171,926$92,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,517.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c52,187$23,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,402.7774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under45c26,682$11,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,759.8812146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c23,697$12,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,399.283,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under46c23,522$10,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,722.93,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under46c20,381$9,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,072.2215459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over47c12,683$5,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,998.382,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under44c6,992$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,915.561,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Under50c3,626$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.787259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda6…84c5backed Under47c3,608$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.462347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5904238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x905a…dff1backed Under70c2,838$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.24862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under46c2,750$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.629232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.7111065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x189d…5561backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.663135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14016050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1449…a618backed Under50c1,955$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.11616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick11cpaid-66.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over46c1,782$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.12,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c1,536$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.722,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Under58c1,515$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+162.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c1,481$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.534,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under53c1,368$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.7383153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3344…3698backed Under53c1,296$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0d…337dbacked Under46c889.68$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.331560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2462626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91fc…7d44backed Under66c530.3$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.31675%12 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over38c516.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6111238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26519448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under45c430$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8811558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under48c403.7$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.512,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over55c402.53$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.069829.6%29 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over20c316$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4443826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under44c305.12$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8736250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Over54c275.39$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7110833.3%36 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4bd…0ce0backed Under45c218.44$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.142669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c213.38$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.033,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under58c205.76$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7621240.6%86 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under44c204.55$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5526047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under58c183.03$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.181,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under45c181.8$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3269744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under45c162.84$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3163745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Under53c156.6$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.612154.5%66 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Under53c154.71$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2211450.9%58 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under48c146.28$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8424654.1%133 W · 113 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over55c144$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.821,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over39c132.79$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0446562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under53c129.4$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8237458.8%220 W · 154 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Over57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Under43c118.91$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7825454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under45c114.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5927251.8%141 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over52c109.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.641,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Under67c105.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7243246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Under54c100.81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8416052.5%84 W · 76 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5011852.5%62 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Over31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfccf…2aefbacked Over51c98.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over52c74.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8976551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6bb…a47fbacked Under67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.633174.2%23 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d9…25cbbacked Under46c66.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under72c61.71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1712252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Under43c58.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.139359.1%55 W · 38 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7891…c020backed Under50c55.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.984870.8%34 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over46c50.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1920968.4%143 W · 66 L+21.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56bc…9103backed Under53c46.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.781643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb176…567cbacked Under53c44.54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0713050%65 W · 65 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Under45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4420447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Under44c41.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.975054%27 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a51…4ef6backed Under47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.23554.3%19 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a84…c4fcbacked Under44c34.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.573971.8%28 W · 11 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Under47c34.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.047846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Under43c32.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.529956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4b7…3267backed Over57c31.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7727058.1%157 W · 113 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Under48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0522052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.937348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed Under59c28.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.914822.9%11 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-50.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under53c27.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9334056.5%192 W · 148 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae75…e41cbacked Over56c26.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under43c25.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4226631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e4…5583backed Under51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.172864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e65…d1d3backed Under67c20.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.653174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under53c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8710626.4%28 W · 78 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid+14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Under54c18.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5235619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3f…829abacked Under55c18.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.291020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-68.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6f…0c8bbacked Under64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.