Fifa International · resolved market
Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0540254cbb9a2f7244f20146d60d3d370a89a89ad9ebb6408774d592018c9fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c06…aa42backed Under | 51c | 1,967$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 29c | 1,360$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.37 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 18c | 1,197$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.06 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Under | 70c | 1,048$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.95 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 68c | 776.92$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.59 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 20c | 665.4$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 77c | 600.49$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 537.08$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.51 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Under | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 17c | 357.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 26c | 341.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 63c | 316.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 16c | 238.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 225.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Under | 19c | 211.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 74c | 209.39$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 18c | 200.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 38c | 153$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 15c | 133.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 76c | 128.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed Over | 79c | 118.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 53c | 109.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 17c | 98.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 17c | 98.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 17c | 80.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 21c | 70.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 40c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 78c | 42.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 46c | 39.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 46c | 38.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 51c | 32.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 52c | 31.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 2.5this page
- Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.