Fifa International · resolved market
Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07c448e72ffd36bce36779c2d8df007d02f8cb0572140ff2edb3ffaba195baa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 12,611$7,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,412.4 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 42c | 6,216$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.88 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Over | 42c | 2,443$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.53 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 71c | 2,164$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.04 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 43c | 2,000$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.31 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 19c | 1,700$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 38c | 1,239$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.75 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 69c | 1,215$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.1 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 31c | 834.55$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.84 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 33c | 391.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.84 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Under | 60c | 358.34$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.14 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 43c | 348$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 285 | 45.3%129 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 62c | 290.75$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 34c | 265.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.8 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Under | 75c | 264.95$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…a6c6backed Under | 46c | 215.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.58 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 39c | 185.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 170.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Under | 31c | 132.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Under | 46c | 105.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 31c | 95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Under | 59c | 79.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf35backed Over | 42c | 76.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 56c | 75.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Under | 47c | 69.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Over | 41c | 63.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 35c | 62.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 41c | 60.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…77dcbacked Under | 34c | 58.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Over | 38c | 49.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21c…3fd3backed Under | 36c | 44.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 57c | 43.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Under | 31c | 33.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 55c | 32.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 72c | 26.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Under | 61c | 24.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…567cbacked Under | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Under | 61c | 18.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 3.5this page
- Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.