TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Trevor Svajda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Edas Butvilasof Edas Butvilas, Trevor Svajda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xccd8…f4debacked Trevor Svajda1c45,978$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.361,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Trevor Svajda31c8,187$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.28,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trevor Svajda23c6,005$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.988,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Edas Butvilas62c5,829$3,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.6811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Edas Butvilas65c4,286$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9629754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Trevor Svajda38c3,500$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.9731736.9%117 W · 200 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Edas Butvilas64c3,450$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.734,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Edas Butvilas60c2,539$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.631,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Trevor Svajda41c2,341$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.158745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Edas Butvilas58c2,156$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.683,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Trevor Svajda40c2,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79070652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Trevor Svajda39c2,000$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.4557842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Trevor Svajda42c1,667$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.991,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2db…a60dbacked Trevor Svajda41c1,347$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.91742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Edas Butvilas57c1,248$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.4365651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Trevor Svajda42c1,166$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.5685348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Trevor Svajda42c1,166$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.5665952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ba2…eb93backed Edas Butvilas65c1,071$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.777364.4%47 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Trevor Svajda42c1,054$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.212,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Edas Butvilas66c1,026$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.251,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Trevor Svajda41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3e…ea35backed Edas Butvilas58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07df…7b2dbacked Trevor Svajda40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Edas Butvilas61c948.35$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8627944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Trevor Svajda27c920.13$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2313928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Trevor Svajda27c909.85$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.253,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Edas Butvilas61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6723159.3%137 W · 94 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Trevor Svajda22c800.03$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.163737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Edas Butvilas61c765.81$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.6756757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Trevor Svajda34c552.23$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.769,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71cbbacked Edas Butvilas65c499.98$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+38.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Edas Butvilas60c488.31$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.643,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Trevor Svajda39c485.54$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9711162.2%69 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Edas Butvilas62c476.17$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.941,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Edas Butvilas60c461.75$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.72,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Trevor Svajda37c425.15$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.496,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0e…6afdbacked Edas Butvilas59c397.34$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.913354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Edas Butvilas62c393.63$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.631,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Edas Butvilas65c375.5$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8917957.5%103 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Edas Butvilas80c351.78$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.367,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Trevor Svajda27c345$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.151,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Trevor Svajda39c341.76$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.452,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Trevor Svajda27c333.85$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.662,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3499…60b5backed Trevor Svajda41c326.85$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.011233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Edas Butvilas62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Edas Butvilas77c302.21$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.651,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Edas Butvilas80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Edas Butvilas60c298.77$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.138158%47 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Trevor Svajda21c295.05$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4137421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Trevor Svajda25c294.44$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4285624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Edas Butvilas77c294.01$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.661,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Edas Butvilas75c266.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6573458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Trevor Svajda40c262.87$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.931,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…d6ebbacked Edas Butvilas79c253$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1311059.1%65 W · 45 L+0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Trevor Svajda41c219.35$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.931,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Trevor Svajda43c216.47$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.11,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Trevor Svajda40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.52,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Trevor Svajda29c188.07$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3299244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Edas Butvilas59c171.11$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.271,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Edas Butvilas60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6781256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Edas Butvilas60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6758045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Edas Butvilas64c166.47$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.531,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Trevor Svajda39c161.36$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.238,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Trevor Svajda40c160$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6464350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Edas Butvilas61c159.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3933647.3%159 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Edas Butvilas60c146.28$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5170456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Trevor Svajda38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Trevor Svajda39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.79545.3%43 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Trevor Svajda42c129.28$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2385637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Trevor Svajda39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039254.1%212 W · 180 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Edas Butvilas79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5828562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Edas Butvilas80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2578857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Edas Butvilas69c118.84$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.435,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Trevor Svajda13c113.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Trevor Svajda43c112.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4399056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Trevor Svajda40c101$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.42,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbb…75a1backed Edas Butvilas71c100.44$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4411338.9%44 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Trevor Svajda41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…925dbacked Edas Butvilas64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Trevor Svajda39c95.12$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.158539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Edas Butvilas62c93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3456744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Edas Butvilas59c90.32$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0330554.4%166 W · 139 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Trevor Svajda39c90$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3347447.9%227 W · 247 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Edas Butvilas64c85.76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7664755%356 W · 291 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79e9…80b1backed Edas Butvilas60c81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.433228.3%94 W · 238 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8345…5928backed Trevor Svajda38c79.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305747.4%27 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Trevor Svajda38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3067852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Edas Butvilas58c77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3459954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc51…245abacked Trevor Svajda40c76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.44953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Edas Butvilas59c74.4$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.227,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Trevor Svajda20c72.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7439845.5%181 W · 217 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Trevor Svajda48c70.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Edas Butvilas64c68.74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8816354%88 W · 75 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Edas Butvilas70c65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.592674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Trevor Svajda25c62.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.561,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xb95c…751cbacked Edas Butvilas61c55.74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.74955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2e…5034backed Trevor Svajda43c55.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.736050%30 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked Trevor Svajda26c53.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.875232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e8e…6461backed Edas Butvilas58c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.847657.9%44 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Edas Butvilas80c51.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2544051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.