Tennis · resolved market
Lyon: Lorenzo Giustino vs Daniel Rincon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f9f77045c0bfcd524dc25267fb4963cea8838907550da55f691eeea4fd6f2e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Rinconof Lorenzo Giustino, Daniel Rincon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Lorenzo Giustino | 2c | 64,865$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.27 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lorenzo Giustino | 8c | 5,685$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.17 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lorenzo Giustino | 9c | 2,573$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Daniel Rincon | 65c | 2,556$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.23 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lorenzo Giustino | 7c | 1,329$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Daniel Rincon | 49c | 1,219$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.53 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Lorenzo Giustino | 22c | 1,120$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.41 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lorenzo Giustino | 44c | 1,110$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 52c | 990.66$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.14 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Daniel Rincon | 69c | 620$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lorenzo Giustino | 17c | 537.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Daniel Rincon | 78c | 511.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 51c | 469.33$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.36 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 11c | 441$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Lorenzo Giustino | 11c | 437.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked Daniel Rincon | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Lorenzo Giustino | 52c | 377.36$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.23 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Lorenzo Giustino | 51c | 335.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Daniel Rincon | 80c | 306$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Lorenzo Giustino | 51c | 245$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Daniel Rincon | 58c | 184$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Daniel Rincon | 59c | 182.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Lorenzo Giustino | 6c | 177.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Daniel Rincon | 67c | 147.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 20c | 146.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Lorenzo Giustino | 9c | 141$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -15.6wins | -0.46per pick | 55cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 21-0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Lorenzo Giustino | 14c | 121.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Lorenzo Giustino | 9c | 114.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Daniel Rincon | 48c | 111.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Lorenzo Giustino | 25c | 109.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Lorenzo Giustino | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Lorenzo Giustino | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Daniel Rincon | 44c | 88.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Lorenzo Giustino | 56c | 88.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lorenzo Giustino | 28c | 84.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Daniel Rincon | 77c | 73.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniel Rincon | 76c | 69.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lorenzo Giustino | 20c | 65.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Lorenzo Giustino | 50c | 54.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Lorenzo Giustino | 22c | 51.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Daniel Rincon | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…5d6cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…2f04backed Daniel Rincon | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Daniel Rincon | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Daniel Rincon | 53c | 34.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Daniel Rincon | 79c | 32.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea5…04f6backed Daniel Rincon | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Daniel Rincon | 47c | 25.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Daniel Rincon | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Lorenzo Giustino | 50c | 22.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lorenzo Giustino | 51c | 21.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.