TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Alex Molcan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alex Molcanof Hynek Barton, Alex Molcan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,700 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d3b…583bbacked Hynek Barton0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102560%15 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Alex Molcan70c7,668$5,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.3766949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Hynek Barton34c5,295$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.731,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hynek Barton27c3,834$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.858,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hynek Barton16c3,760$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.478,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Hynek Barton35c3,412$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.141,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae51…1d03backed Alex Molcan72c2,783$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.9215554.2%84 W · 71 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid0%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Hynek Barton34c1,765$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60043334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1bf…e36bbacked Hynek Barton31c1,737$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.24117.1%7 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Hynek Barton34c1,524$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.644,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Alex Molcan66c1,520$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.814162.4%88 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Hynek Barton30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Alex Molcan67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5494068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Alex Molcan66c1,270$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.3779855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hynek Barton14c1,269$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Hynek Barton21c1,069$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.093,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0094…eea5backed Hynek Barton1c1,054$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+92.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Alex Molcan66c1,041$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.513,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Hynek Barton7c1,034$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0442125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Hynek Barton33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alex Molcan75c903.62$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.24,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Alex Molcan69c879.33$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.592,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Alex Molcan72c838.27$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9710655.7%59 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Alex Molcan66c823.42$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9650442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Alex Molcan65c781.96$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.693,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Hynek Barton35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Alex Molcan66c711.46$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.91,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Molcan78c638.16$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.568,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Alex Molcan66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0636157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Hynek Barton17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Hynek Barton33c507.34$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.427,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Alex Molcan66c447.76$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.241,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Hynek Barton33c410.8$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.291,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Hynek Barton36c385$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14067239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Hynek Barton35c366.74$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3623735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Hynek Barton15c363.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.570729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e6…0896backed Alex Molcan67c336.63$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.142454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7538…6ca6backed Hynek Barton12c335.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.242948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Alex Molcan66c316.99$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7845744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Alex Molcan66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Alex Molcan66c287.85$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.243,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Alex Molcan65c259.83$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9447854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Hynek Barton24c255.04$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5990335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Alex Molcan65c253.13$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.597,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d44…04efbacked Hynek Barton19c236.93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Hynek Barton35c226.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Alex Molcan75c215.22$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2260962.7%382 W · 227 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Hynek Barton13c215$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.41250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Alex Molcan65c203$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0599249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Hynek Barton25c201$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2292138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x557e…d185backed Hynek Barton13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa93…eed3backed Hynek Barton19c199.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Alex Molcan66c189.88$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.391,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Alex Molcan67c179.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.184968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8778…fe54backed Hynek Barton11c175.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.292240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe635…b1a2backed Hynek Barton35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013240.9%54 W · 78 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2029…49a3backed Hynek Barton16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-27.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Hynek Barton33c154.48$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.981,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Alex Molcan66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Alex Molcan65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.557953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Hynek Barton17c147.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2575312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Alex Molcan68c142.78$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6930749.8%153 W · 154 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hynek Barton35c134.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.882,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Alex Molcan79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Hynek Barton28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Alex Molcan80c123.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.751,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Alex Molcan65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Hynek Barton34c104.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.71,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Hynek Barton28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked Hynek Barton20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick26cpaid-85.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc774…f218backed Alex Molcan70c99.28$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0835753.8%192 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Alex Molcan67c94.48$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.182,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Hynek Barton35c94.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336953.6%37 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Alex Molcan66c86.56$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.431,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Hynek Barton19c80.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Hynek Barton34c80.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.277250%36 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Alex Molcan67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.434761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11c9…1184backed Hynek Barton19c73.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148118.5%15 W · 66 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-39%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Hynek Barton28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Hynek Barton31c71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.951,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Alex Molcan76c70.44$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.591,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Hynek Barton34c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4585748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2842…fb48backed Alex Molcan80c68.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7521159.7%126 W · 85 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Alex Molcan64c68.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.757150.7%36 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c30…4acfbacked Hynek Barton30c66.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Hynek Barton16c62.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.266,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Alex Molcan66c62.12$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1222262.6%139 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Hynek Barton34c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5249151.7%254 W · 237 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Alex Molcan74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf9c…f77dbacked Hynek Barton35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207542.7%32 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe70…bb1dbacked Hynek Barton28c56.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.04955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Hynek Barton34c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.739443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x387f…70a8backed Alex Molcan66c54.55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.557562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec5…4168backed Alex Molcan65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.859666.7%64 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6be…a9a7backed Hynek Barton34c52.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1813441.8%56 W · 78 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Alex Molcan67c52.53$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5390854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alex Molcan65c51.03$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.847,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Hynek Barton35c45.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1626734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Hynek Barton31c44.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.821,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Alex Molcan66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8836264.6%234 W · 128 L-1.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.