MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0785689ff1046d75d6ca2cf96742c143481441de6806582b12472c793a4ffbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Pittsburgh Pirates, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $383,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 56,301$28,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,150.72 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 47,750$26,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,165.44 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 24,273$7,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,669.04 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1626…9e8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 23,170$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 19,491$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,038.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 18,868$9,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,433.96 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 17,691$8,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,845.48 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 17,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 14,634$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 10,200$5,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,998 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 9,855$4,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,829.01 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 8,418$4,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,209.05 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 6,539$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.84 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 7c | 6,296$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.23 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 16c | 5,161$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.96 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 4,919$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 8c | 4,592$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.47 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 4,364$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 3,501$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…544dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 3c | 3,334$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 3,083$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.76 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 3,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 2,692$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.84 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 2,673$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.92 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 7c | 2,503$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.86 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 2,431$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.4 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 10c | 2,254$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.67 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,850$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 1,716$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.28 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,467$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.5 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…5efabacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,443$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 8c | 1,416$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.03 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 1,292$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.66 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,266$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.82 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants | 70c | 1,210$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.9 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,200$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,043$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed San Francisco Giants | 65c | 1,000$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.22 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed San Francisco Giants | 80c | 975$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.81 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 6c | 943.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 28c | 900$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…42b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 808.26$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 788.12$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.95 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 716.35$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.36 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 712.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 3c | 641.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 18c | 626.66$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 605.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.18 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 554.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 541.9$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 64c | 522.28$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.76 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 517.9$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.95 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 485$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.65 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 482.1$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.12 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 402.5$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Francisco Giants | 75c | 399$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 380.03$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.01 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 373$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 349.91$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 323.53$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.27 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed San Francisco Giants | 68c | 299.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 292.94$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 287.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 8c | 279.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 273.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…f824backed San Francisco Giants | 75c | 266.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 266.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.67 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked San Francisco Giants | 68c | 259.98$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 257.48$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 241.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 241.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 236.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 224.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 27c | 222$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 217.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 217$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 210.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.