TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,769 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Over65c63,810$41,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,360.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under4c7,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803026.7%8 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+107.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under35c6,400$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2406347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under31c5,078$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.6687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under35c4,800$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6804548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under47c4,093$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Under29c3,728$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.972642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under35c2,800$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9805151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over53c2,772$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.875238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x912a…2e6abacked Over61c2,566$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under35c2,533$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.6618351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under35c2,400$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8405151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under35c2,368$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.82944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under35c2,331$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.344753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under34c2,226$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.6452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b02…7939backed Under33c2,210$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under35c1,840$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6443948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Under35c1,700$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59550%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under35c1,600$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5605251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under35c1,577$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.884854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4204951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4204548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Under35c1,150$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under32c1,084$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.946450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under35c1,040$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3644447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under35c1,040$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3644753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under36c1,014$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.971266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under34c1,004$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.9216448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed Under35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3e…ea35backed Under35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3806654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f0…3651backed Under35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6464…99adbacked Under35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under35c900$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3156051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under35c896.65$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.8626041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over55c868.6$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.4235157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under35c756.62$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.82875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over66c698.35$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.442751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over67c650.86$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4812963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under35c640$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2245251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under38c639.16$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.886357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under35c624$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.45552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under35c624$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.44953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under35c565$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5827748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd2c…e8e8backed Under9c562.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under35c560$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1964847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under46c537.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under37c520.33$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.521233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under37c477.95$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5123342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under35c387.48$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.553345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under45c369.17$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.594544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Under50c360$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Under36c319.28$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.941656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under35c295.94$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7913250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under35c292.3$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3129637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked Over63c276.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Over52c265.66$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+68.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under35c264.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.510145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under35c235.54$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.372250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under5c221.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.881546.7%7 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick22cpaid+705.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under48c203.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.523141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over62c202.56$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under33c202.45$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7322745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under47c200.18$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.081540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under37c180$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.62152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed Under45c177.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under33c173.32$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.752665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under35c160$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over63c157.87$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.511346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3994…1fadbacked Over54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Under47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeec3…6bd2backed Under16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-68.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under37c119.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6626354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under33c114.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0530448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed Under45c109$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over71c100.1$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.032250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under36c99.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.794951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under34c91.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.591752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under35c84.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.65955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Under46c75.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under36c68.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.497861.5%48 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under35c65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.753036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Over62c64.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.641872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under36c61.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.033357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over66c59.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0310248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeceb…29a4backed Under35c57.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Under35c56.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.631656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f0…f942backed Under35c56.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Under36c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked Under30c54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c91…af73backed Under37c54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6419…0f53backed Under31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-55.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.