Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7361f4c577945b89d4a537eda2acd3cceb1e22cb722c8a48a3114eff058b8d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 17c | 9,110$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.87 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 8,099$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.3 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Under | 52c | 2,873$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.63 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 63c | 2,539$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 62c | 2,015$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.66 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 26c | 1,476$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.79 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 32c | 942.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 37c | 896.38$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.36 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 48c | 726$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +130%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 60c | 400.03$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.03 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 56c | 299.26$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 67c | 295.47$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 7c | 294.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 65c | 267.92$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 35c | 250.6$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 74c | 227.89$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 21c | 224.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 72c | 220.03$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Under | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Under | 43c | 173.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 155.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 71c | 113.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 11c | 94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 30c | 87.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 80.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 20c | 76.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 78c | 57.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 80c | 53.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 38c | 50.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…9c37backed Over | 22c | 50.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 56c | 44.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 44c | 41.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…6eebbacked Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…dfb5backed Over | 39c | 35.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 66c | 32.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 36c | 28.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443f…4539backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 46c | 24.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…c404backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 0.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.