TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,169 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under61c3,726$2,258 inWon+$1,468.43757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c2,734$1,075 inLost-$1,075.061,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over16c1,754$283 inLost-$282.9129637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over13c1,112$146 inLost-$146.4222745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over23c835$192 inLost-$192.0512448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c662.26$210 inLost-$210.331,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under78c637.83$499 inWon+$138.4526046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under65c625$408 inWon+$217.051838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Under74c379.74$280 inWon+$99.31888.9%16 W · 2 L+4.9wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+83.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over16c327.14$52 inLost-$52.344742.6%20 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Under62c322.58$200 inWon+$122.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Under78c255.13$199 inWon+$56.133174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over33c236.93$78 inLost-$77.7924052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c189.03$115 inWon+$73.7224349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over15c180$27 inLost-$2722854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed Under64c166$106 inWon+$59.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over14c119.32$16 inLost-$16.1616448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Under66c99.99$66 inWon+$341275%9 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under63c79.98$50 inWon+$29.981384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Over17c74.71$12 inLost-$12.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over20c65$13 inLost-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Over43c58.13$25 inLost-$252548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x414c…f10bbacked Under79c54.45$43 inWon+$11.194100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4552…0333backed Under77c29.99$23 inWon+$6.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under63c20$13 inWon+$7.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+41.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.