Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef2902a333c70c9a430d4ed3acded0e76c608b030067630087ea7a01c01de135
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 70c | 3,551$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.03 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 32c | 3,380$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.66 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 2,920$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.25 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 1,909$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.18 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed No | 24c | 1,727$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes | 78c | 1,280$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 78c | 909.09$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes | 69c | 722$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.94 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 74c | 679.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.44 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 70c | 656.88$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Yes | 69c | 629.34$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.1 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 49c | 617.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 67c | 588.33$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.26 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Yes | 69c | 296.49$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 39c | 273.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 33c | 269.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 76c | 263.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 69c | 260.66$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 78c | 256.14$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Yes | 67c | 233.05$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 33c | 232.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 33c | 222.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 67c | 204.67$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes | 71c | 201.92$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…93cbbacked Yes | 78c | 200.1$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 30c | 180.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 165.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 61c | 158.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 66c | 124.21$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed No | 18c | 118.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…9588backed Yes | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 68c | 103.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 30c | 91.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Yes | 70c | 59.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 53c | 59.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Yes | 69c | 59.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 62c | 56.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 66c | 45.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 34c | 44.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…2b4dbacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…e34abacked Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed No | 55c | 36.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…4478backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…205ebacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Yes | 68c | 31.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…93ddbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 64c | 24.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 56c | 24.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846b…71bdbacked Yes | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…a63dbacked Yes | 71c | 16.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 0.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.