WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18f766600fe8574181f670342262191520eeb9e34078ca000676179089aa7a8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 3,773$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.46 | 1,803 | 51.8%934 W · 869 L | +56.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 52c | 3,593$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.75 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 1,907$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.99 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 63c | 674.85$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 39c | 450$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Under | 52c | 428.85$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 457 | 15.8%72 W · 385 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 300.43$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.19 | 1,025 | 47.8%490 W · 535 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 10c | 259.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 10c | 259.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 10c | 258.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 10c | 256.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 44c | 225.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 35c | 222.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 206.31$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 856 | 58.4%500 W · 356 L | +70.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 194.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Over | 57c | 177.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 57c | 176.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 61c | 159.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…ad6dbacked Over | 53c | 135.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 57c | 130.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Under | 49c | 104.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…9c8dbacked Over | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…7c43backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 51c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 55.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 670 | 51.5%345 W · 325 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 51c | 47.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 56c | 43.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 50c | 39.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Under | 46c | 32.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…6783backed Over | 49c | 24.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…5f41backed Under | 47c | 21.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 51c | 20.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-2.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.