WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e8cc5ea7ca6ecff0f75398dc31c3189346c08a4afa9a9e35f43dd347f9321d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 53c | 19,024$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,023.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 17,627$8,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,434.97 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 14,882$7,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,077.44 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 13,432$6,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,522.56 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 9,311$4,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,468.84 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 53c | 8,533$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 59c | 1,123$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.6 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 55c | 1,073$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.21 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 17c | 871.61$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 753$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.32 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 721$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.97 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Under | 45c | 666.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Over | 55c | 615.29$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9947…925dbacked Under | 54c | 596.92$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Over | 52c | 578.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 50c | 518.19$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 45c | 513.47$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.41 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 50c | 413.25$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.63 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 52c | 382.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.69 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 379.28$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.72 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 63c | 367$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Under | 49c | 236.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 41c | 221.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 27c | 197$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Over | 48c | 192.08$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 76c | 183.55$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 39c | 179.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 53c | 169.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 50c | 162.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 62c | 161.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 69c | 145.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…fca1backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 75c | 111.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…4066backed Over | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Over | 53c | 98.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 96.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 92.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 51c | 79.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 47c | 78.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 51c | 75.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…543dbacked Under | 51c | 58.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Under | 54c | 55.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 51c | 46.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 49c | 41.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Over | 50c | 39.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Over | 50c | 39.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…e71dbacked Under | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Under | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 55c | 32.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 67c | 26.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0771…bf46backed Under | 53c | 26.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 67c | 25.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 67c | 24.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 70c | 24.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 48c | 24.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 51c | 24.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Over | 50c | 23.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 71c | 23.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Over | 72c | 18.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 62c | 18.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 72c | 14.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-2.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.