TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Quito: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Peter Bertran

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Juan Sebastian Osorioof Juan Sebastian Osorio, Peter Bertran
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,279

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,255 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Peter Bertran53c2,128$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.0611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio40c2,057$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.324,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Juan Sebastian Osorio16c1,719$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.328,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Peter Bertran53c1,553$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.122,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa13d…f67abacked Peter Bertran79c1,372$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.351662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b61…599cbacked Peter Bertran54c1,292$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.591,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Peter Bertran66c847.57$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.734,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio22c684.7$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.3696945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Juan Sebastian Osorio49c599.99$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3097,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Juan Sebastian Osorio47c583.82$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.872,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Peter Bertran57c543.44$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.548,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Juan Sebastian Osorio33c523.1$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.513,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Peter Bertran52c517.32$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.427444.6%33 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Juan Sebastian Osorio14c350.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.8168430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Juan Sebastian Osorio10c335.59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.381,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Peter Bertran52c249.88$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.059,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Peter Bertran52c240$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.839149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Juan Sebastian Osorio48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.81,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio15c238.07$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4796049.5%475 W · 485 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Juan Sebastian Osorio49c208.22$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4827949.1%137 W · 142 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Peter Bertran51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032147%151 W · 170 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio49c191.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.921,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Peter Bertran61c177.56$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.845,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Peter Bertran27c173.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4560141.1%247 W · 354 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio42c168.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.551,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Peter Bertran76c146.84$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.322,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio45c142$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.051,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Juan Sebastian Osorio46c140$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.461,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Juan Sebastian Osorio47c114.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.061,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Juan Sebastian Osorio47c112.89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.837,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Juan Sebastian Osorio25c112.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.613,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Peter Bertran73c100.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.826,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Juan Sebastian Osorio15c99.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.099520%19 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Peter Bertran61c95.28$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.511,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio21c95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7692352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Juan Sebastian Osorio47c87.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.423,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c75…fd50backed Juan Sebastian Osorio76c80.58$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5816467.1%110 W · 54 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio20c76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.12,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Juan Sebastian Osorio45c73.01$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.011,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Juan Sebastian Osorio22c69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.781,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2be0…75b0backed Peter Bertran78c63.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502584%21 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio18c61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.861,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Juan Sebastian Osorio53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3135349.9%176 W · 177 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Peter Bertran75c53.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0174346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Peter Bertran32c53.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1714435.4%51 W · 93 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Juan Sebastian Osorio24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.292046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Juan Sebastian Osorio24c49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2446957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio34c48.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.211,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Peter Bertran58c48.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.211,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio47c47.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3449943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Juan Sebastian Osorio47c42.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.642,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio48c41.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4775350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Peter Bertran65c40.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5446155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Juan Sebastian Osorio47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.163,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Peter Bertran52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.61,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Peter Bertran53c38.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.371,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Peter Bertran54c37.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202740.7%11 W · 16 L-5.7wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Juan Sebastian Osorio45c36.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2033855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Peter Bertran51c35.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2731657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Juan Sebastian Osorio48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.36,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2022…37d9backed Peter Bertran66c34.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.887835.9%28 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Peter Bertran52c34.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8994058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Peter Bertran69c33.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.291,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Juan Sebastian Osorio48c33.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.511,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Peter Bertran67c31.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1947857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio35c31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.281,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Peter Bertran57c30.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.173,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x721c…d585backed Juan Sebastian Osorio38c29.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9413157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio52c23.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1287060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Peter Bertran68c21.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.391,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Peter Bertran69c21.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5637156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Peter Bertran54c20.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.189663.7%571 W · 325 L+63.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee9d…5f41backed Peter Bertran52c20.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.473366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Peter Bertran52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.354746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Peter Bertran53c19.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2258665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Peter Bertran75c16.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1128055.4%155 W · 125 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Juan Sebastian Osorio80c13.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.7767178.7%528 W · 143 L+49.1wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.