MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49c1fc564811c5bc7b5fb72ec8abc2371a86d1f33b925f39c267f0bf1f8c7a43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $370,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $417,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 50c | 75,000$37,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,500 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 29,690$14,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,921.72 | 238 | 54.6%130 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 20,513$10,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,208.69 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 50c | 15,554$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 14,800$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400.04 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 13,983$6,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,021.54 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 13,529$6,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,657.15 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros | 50c | 12,394$6,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,149.01 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Houston Astros | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Houston Astros | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 8,082$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.63 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 41c | 7,545$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.46 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Houston Astros | 49c | 7,165$3,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.58 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 6,489$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,244.46 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 6,426$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.65 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 5,591$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.5 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 5,302$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.72 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 5,157$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.62 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 4,414$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 4,306$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.81 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Houston Astros | 53c | 4,211$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232 | 198 | 54%107 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 49c | 4,058$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.34 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Houston Astros | 39c | 3,893$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.45 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 3,886$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.57 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 3,803$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.39 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 49c | 3,785$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.48 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 3,445$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.82 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Houston Astros | 50c | 2,605$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.42 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 25c | 2,256$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.98 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 52c | 2,120$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.61 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 234 | 57.7%135 W · 99 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,930$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.3 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Houston Astros | 50c | 1,832$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.97 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 1,668$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.13 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 51c | 1,626$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.43 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Houston Astros | 50c | 1,558$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.9 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…7a0abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,538$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 50c | 1,386$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.35 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,275$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.51 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 1,261$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.69 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 1,119$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.24 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,006$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.02 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 993.3$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.87 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 943.21$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.74 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 868.83$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.48 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 842.42$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.82 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 804.02$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Houston Astros | 49c | 755.1$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Houston Astros | 53c | 749.75$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.37 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 688$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Houston Astros | 47c | 675$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.65 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 653$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.97 | 286 | 47.2%135 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 640.59$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.7 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 640$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 639.61$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.8 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Houston Astros | 53c | 628.3$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 620$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Houston Astros | 52c | 616.88$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.6 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 614.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 608.08$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.47 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…a4ebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 600.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.6 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Houston Astros | 50c | 599.71$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.41 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 575$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 562.63$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 530$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Houston Astros | 51c | 518$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.9 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Houston Astros | 49c | 511.2$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.78 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 51c | 510.41$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.42 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Houston Astros | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 503.3$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.65 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 489.74$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.6 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 460.29$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.75 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Houston Astros | 43c | 454.26$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 37c | 451.17$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…3315backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Houston Astros | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 421.61$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.63 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Houston Astros | 51c | 419.06$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.72 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 417.29$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Houston Astros | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 393.8$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…51a4backed Houston Astros | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 375$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.28 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 371.54$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.84 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.