MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2ed6cfe00fc17e671c3a6e1de68be244dccb233b32e40902454dd95df9c60f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 45c | 109,924$49,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,457.97 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 55c | 90,000$49,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,500 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 54c | 18,351$9,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,890.15 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed Over | 55c | 15,264$8,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,394.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 13,425$6,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,948.73 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 52c | 12,000$6,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,216.32 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 59c | 10,000$5,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 9,731$4,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,975.34 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 7,426$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.57 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 45c | 6,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 41c | 6,307$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.82 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.68 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 4,887$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.76 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 4,106$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.82 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 3,217$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.72 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 2,249$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.74 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 55c | 2,027$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.05 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 1,987$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.26 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 47c | 1,985$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.91 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 1,675$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 47c | 1,622$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.66 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 50c | 1,514$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.82 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 45c | 1,302$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.99 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 52c | 1,124$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.57 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 55c | 1,094$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 44c | 1,077$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.33 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 50c | 999.12$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.64 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 965$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.9 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 53c | 877.63$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.62 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 876.38$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.28 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 53c | 833.38$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.58 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 46c | 800.98$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.4 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 48c | 620.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.75 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 35c | 607.22$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.69 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 49c | 569$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.19 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 56c | 557.41$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.39 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 56c | 545.22$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.32 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 46c | 541.47$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.97 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 501.32$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 52c | 439.52$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.55 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 48c | 400.19$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.1 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 381.98$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 61c | 327.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.95 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Over | 55c | 273.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 55c | 270.65$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 45c | 265.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 45c | 265.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 51c | 251.61$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 55c | 210.62$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Over | 57c | 209.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 45c | 202$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 54c | 183.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…39e1backed Over | 56c | 169.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 18c | 126.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Over | 56c | 123.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 45c | 121.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 48c | 115.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Under | 46c | 108.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 56c | 105.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 49c | 103.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 41c | 96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…f991backed Under | 55c | 93.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 53c | 83.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…f4ddbacked Over | 55c | 81.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 52c | 78.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…637cbacked Under | 67c | 70.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 47c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 45c | 54.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 28c | 51.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 54c | 48.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fd82backed Under | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 54c | 47.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 41.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 53c | 40.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 55c | 39.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…4d46backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…a5d7backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Over | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…aeb3backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 50c | 33.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston AstrosTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.