MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c6c69b999459d7cee0ffd13e9b3e8d4f0a48644051b00842bc2304a08d5146d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $444,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $455,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5966…f804backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 75,000$36,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,250 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 45,003$22,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,951.59 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf568…9e93backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 37,703$20,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,449.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 27,110$19,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,919.55 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 23,890$11,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,272.74 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 66c | 17,468$11,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,914.02 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 16,512$8,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,421.15 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.96 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 14,067$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.7 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 13,925$6,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,613.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 13,317$5,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253.33 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 12,633$6,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,181.96 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 7,653$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.02 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 6,553$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355.02 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 6,211$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.74 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.97 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 5,812$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.99 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 5,303$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.04 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 5,181$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.05 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 5,155$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.9 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.96 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…0561backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 4,799$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.55 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Miami Marlins | 74c | 4,374$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.24 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals | 17c | 4,240$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.74 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 3,646$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.36 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 3,638$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 3,381$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 3,255$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.91 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -15.4wins | -0.25per pick | 73cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…ce46backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 3,087$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 24c | 2,906$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.33 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 2,670$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.8 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Miami Marlins | 69c | 2,581$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.08 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 2,519$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.95 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Miami Marlins | 79c | 2,501$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.99 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 2,407$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.9 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 2,228$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Washington Nationals | 10c | 2,055$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.55 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,998$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.8 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,993$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.63 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 76c | 1,602$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,571$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.04 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 1,416$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.29 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,253$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.25 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,200$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…4581backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,172$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,037$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 999.99$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.97 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 990.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 26c | 959.66$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 860.6$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.5 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 816.49$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.06 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 811.84$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.04 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 791.67$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.97 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 789.37$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.47 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 750.29$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.64 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Washington Nationals | 12c | 749.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 725.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 671.15$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 624.95$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.72 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 621.52$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.47 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 618.16$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.81 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Miami Marlins | 79c | 609.97$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.25 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef1…b97dbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…1b31backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 599.98$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 599.26$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.62 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c3…3909backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 570.7$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.06 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 562.11$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 546.42$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 532.3$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.92 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…5d2abacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 451.93$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.68 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…c400backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 414.14$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 412.45$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.72 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 404.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 400.41$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.21 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…a799backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 391.18$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Washington Nationals | 12c | 353.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 342$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.52 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 335$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.25 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5928backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…138fbacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 275.18$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 261.15$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 257.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.