MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75e27184ea720901ae3fef7ad0e42598c47329c544b20390e519fd765ca7da97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 46c | 38,354$17,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,632.38 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 55c | 32,155$17,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,612.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 29,816$13,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,417.13 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 55c | 21,000$11,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,450 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 10,475$5,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,713.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 45c | 10,129$4,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557.98 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 54c | 6,250$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 54c | 3,066$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.51 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 2,692$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.07 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…7147backed Over | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 38c | 1,325$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.36 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 54c | 1,312$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.45 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 1,290$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.49 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 1,241$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,194$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 55c | 1,171$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.92 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 39c | 1,150$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.5 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1744backed Under | 46c | 1,118$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 59c | 1,086$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.65 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 64c | 984.14$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.76 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 51c | 834.04$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.62 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 52c | 687.77$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.89 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Under | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 45c | 402.5$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.13 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 45c | 379.93$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 52c | 341.38$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.52 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 51c | 341.38$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 48c | 262$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 45c | 207$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 61c | 163.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 46c | 161.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 46c | 151$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 121.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 47c | 106.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Over | 55c | 106.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 65c | 97.48$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 55c | 95.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 46c | 95.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Under | 53c | 92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 48c | 90.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Under | 49c | 86.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Over | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 45c | 60.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 49c | 51.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 53c | 48.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 52c | 46.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 46c | 45.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 48c | 41.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e4…0d44backed Over | 56c | 37.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 51c | 34.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 46c | 33.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 54c | 33.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 44c | 32.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…9f54backed Over | 56c | 32.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…f5d9backed Over | 56c | 32.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…f6f5backed Over | 56c | 31.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…3f71backed Over | 56c | 31.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…572dbacked Over | 56c | 31.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…8194backed Over | 56c | 31.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…6756backed Over | 56c | 30.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x290b…394abacked Over | 56c | 30.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 46c | 30.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…cc49backed Over | 56c | 29.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 47c | 28.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…d3f5backed Over | 56c | 28.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…d280backed Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2a7backed Over | 56c | 27.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…3273backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…005fbacked Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…1c52backed Over | 56c | 25.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…dda9backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 23.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…0720backed Over | 56c | 23.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…77d2backed Over | 56c | 23.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…2e3bbacked Over | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…18b0backed Over | 56c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…01bdbacked Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Over | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…8914backed Over | 56c | 20.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Over | 54c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 55c | 19.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 55c | 18.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Under | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington NationalsMiami Marlins won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.