MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cb7405ceb99fa88b11795f030efc6400b9cf67744d3cc664b82f38404cd68f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Baltimore Orioles, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,507,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,813,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,507,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 279,589$158,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,547.44 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 207,490$91,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,295.6 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 125,596$46,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,269.44 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,999.97 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 72,500$30,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,550 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 51,544$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 49,653$21,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,350.98 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 47,165$26,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,280.78 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 36,976$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,899.88 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 22,727$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.97 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 17,042$9,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,498.33 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 16,994$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,994.4 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 12,475$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160.33 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 10,692$8,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 8,150$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504.57 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 7,600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 7,034$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.39 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 7,018$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 6,810$3,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.39 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 5,899$4,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.23 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 5,838$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.38 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 5,824$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.08 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 5,569$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.58 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 5,559$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 5,114$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.19 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 5,076$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.1 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.99 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 4,941$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.52 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 4,914$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.32 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 4,680$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.99 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 4,600$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.22 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 4,402$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 4,353$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.09 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.34 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 4,183$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.98 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 4,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 3,870$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 3,707$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.15 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 2,613$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.05 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 2,420$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.64 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,379$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.61 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 2,022$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.86 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,945$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.57 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.79 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 1,856$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.08 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,745$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.36 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.04 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 1,530$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.74 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,500$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.7 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,383$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,372$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.73 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 1,360$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.56 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 1,350$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.03 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.79 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 1,296$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 1,288$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.8 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,173$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 1,147$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,074$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.74 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 1,073$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.74 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 1,048$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.39 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 1,045$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 1,026$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.72 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 1,012$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.01 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 1,011$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 1,008$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 997.41$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.04 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 936$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.84 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 925$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.75 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 889.83$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.83 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…3216backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…725dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 790.79$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.95 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 780.03$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.89 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 779.65$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.25 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 750$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…cd7cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 745.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 745.61$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.61 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-5.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-7.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-8.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.